Lech Poznań vs Torreense: what's at stake in the Europa League?
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 7 · Thursday 21 January, 21:00
Lech Poznań35th, 0 pts
–Matchday 7
Torreense11th, 3 pts
53%Lech Poznań win
24%Draw
23%Torreense win
The model gives Lech Poznań a 53% chance of winning, a draw 24% and Torreense 23%. Lech Poznań's chance of going through is 33% now: a win would take it to 46%, a defeat to 14%. Torreense's chance of going through is 60% now: a win would take it to 84%, a defeat to 48%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Lech Poznań: top 8 | Lech Poznań: through | Torreense: top 8 | Torreense: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 2% | 33% | 7% | 60% |
| Lech Poznań win | 3% | 46% | 3% | 48% |
| Draw | 1% | 22% | 6% | 63% |
| Torreense win | <1% | 14% | 17% | 84% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–112%
1–012%
2–110%
2–010%
0–17%
0–07%
Other matchday 7 fixtures
- Beşiktaş – Union SG
- Ararat-Armenia – Celje
- Ferencváros – Juventus
- Jagiellonia – Lyon
- Lillestrøm – Bournemouth
- N.E.C. Nijmegen – Benfica
- Olympiacos – Hoffenheim
- Real Sociedad – Viktoria Plzeň
- Sturm Graz – OFI Crete
- AZ Alkmaar – GNK Dinamo
- Leverkusen – Salzburg
- Celtic – Marseille
- Crystal Palace – Sparta Praha
- Hapoel Beer-Sheva – Celta
- Levski Sofia – Milan
- Anderlecht – Sunderland
- Rennes – Omonia