Sturm Graz vs OFI Crete: what's at stake in the Europa League?
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 7 · Thursday 21 January, 18:45
Sturm Graz20th, 1 pts
–Matchday 7
OFI Crete9th, 3 pts
54%Sturm Graz win
24%Draw
22%OFI Crete win
The model gives Sturm Graz a 54% chance of winning, a draw 24% and OFI Crete 22%. Sturm Graz's chance of going through is 52% now: a win would take it to 66%, a defeat to 28%. OFI Crete's chance of going through is 49% now: a win would take it to 77%, a defeat to 37%. The most likely score is 1–0 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Sturm Graz: top 8 | Sturm Graz: through | OFI Crete: top 8 | OFI Crete: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 5% | 52% | 4% | 49% |
| Sturm Graz win | 8% | 66% | 2% | 37% |
| Draw | 2% | 41% | 3% | 52% |
| OFI Crete win | 1% | 28% | 10% | 77% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–012%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%
Other matchday 7 fixtures
- Beşiktaş – Union SG
- Ararat-Armenia – Celje
- Ferencváros – Juventus
- Jagiellonia – Lyon
- Lillestrøm – Bournemouth
- N.E.C. Nijmegen – Benfica
- Olympiacos – Hoffenheim
- Real Sociedad – Viktoria Plzeň
- AZ Alkmaar – GNK Dinamo
- Leverkusen – Salzburg
- Celtic – Marseille
- Crystal Palace – Sparta Praha
- Hapoel Beer-Sheva – Celta
- Lech Poznań – Torreense
- Levski Sofia – Milan
- Anderlecht – Sunderland
- Rennes – Omonia