Torreense vs Sunderland: what's at stake in the Europa League?
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 2 · Thursday 15 October, 18:45
Torreense11th, 3 pts
–Matchday 2
Sunderland16th, 3 pts
26%Torreense win
25%Draw
49%Sunderland win
The model gives Torreense a 26% chance of winning, a draw 25% and Sunderland 49%. Torreense's chance of going through is 60% now: a win would take it to 83%, a defeat to 48%. Sunderland's chance of going through is 93% now: a win would take it to 98%, a defeat to 86%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Torreense: top 8 | Torreense: through | Sunderland: top 8 | Sunderland: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 7% | 60% | 42% | 93% |
| Torreense win | 17% | 83% | 22% | 86% |
| Draw | 6% | 61% | 33% | 92% |
| Sunderland win | 3% | 48% | 57% | 98% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–07%
Other matchday 2 fixtures
- Sparta Praha – Lillestrøm
- AZ Alkmaar – Hapoel Beer-Sheva
- Salzburg – Milan
- Lech Poznań – Leverkusen
- Celje – Omonia
- Lyon – Crystal Palace
- Union SG – Real Sociedad
- Bournemouth – Sturm Graz
- Ferencváros – Viktoria Plzeň
- GNK Dinamo – Anderlecht
- Jagiellonia – Ararat-Armenia
- N.E.C. Nijmegen – Levski Sofia
- Marseille – Olympiacos
- Celta – Juventus
- Benfica – Celtic
- Rennes – OFI Crete
- Hoffenheim – Beşiktaş