What does Lech Poznań need to go through in the Europa League?
← Back to the Europa League table
Updated 21 October 2026, 2026/27 league phase
After matchday 2, Lech Poznań are 36th with 0 points. Next match: 22 October, at home against Sunderland. In our simulations Lech Poznań go through (24th place or better) in 19% of cases and make the top 8 in <1%. 10 points are usually enough (a team on that total goes through in more than half of the simulations). The biggest matches are against OFI Crete (matchday 8) and Ferencváros (matchday 6): each result moves the chances by about 30 percentage points.
30,000 simulations. Most likely finish: 36th, average 29.5.
Lech Poznań matches
Times in your time zone. Under each match you can see how its result changes the chance of going through. Enter your own prediction and every number on the page updates.
-
Matchday 1Thursday 17 September, 21:00Win 13%, draw 20%, defeat 67%Chance of going through:Played
-
Matchday 2Thursday 15 October, 18:45Win 15%, draw 20%, defeat 65%Chance of going through:Played
-
Matchday 3Thursday 22 October, 18:45Win 29%, draw 26%, defeat 45%Chance of going through:If they win38%If they draw16%If they lose9%
-
Matchday 4Thursday 5 November, 21:00Win 9%, draw 16%, defeat 76%Chance of going through:If they win47%If they draw23%If they lose15%
-
Matchday 5Thursday 26 November, 18:45Win 16%, draw 21%, defeat 63%Chance of going through:If they win44%If they draw21%If they lose12%
-
Matchday 6Thursday 10 December, 21:00Win 33%, draw 26%, defeat 41%Chance of going through:If they win36%If they draw14%If they lose9%
-
Matchday 7Thursday 21 January, 21:00Win 49%, draw 25%, defeat 25%Chance of going through:If they win30%If they draw11%If they lose6%
-
Matchday 8Thursday 28 January, 21:00Win 32%, draw 26%, defeat 41%Chance of going through:If they win38%If they draw14%If they lose8%
How many points are needed?
Chance of going through depending on how many points Lech Poznań collect in the league phase.
Where could Lech Poznań finish?
Final position chances across the simulations.
White: top 8, yellow: 9th–24th, grey: eliminated.
Europa League table
The current table. Click a team to open its page. On the right: chance of going through. The solid line after 8th means a direct place in the round of 16, the dashed line after 24th is the elimination line.
- 1Juventus6100%
- 2Leverkusen6>99%
- 3Benfica6100%
- 4Beşiktaş698%
- 5Bournemouth6>99%
- 6Omonia682%
- 7Ferencváros697%
- 8Lyon699%
- 9Sunderland699%
- 10Olympiacos699%
- 11Sparta Praha480%
- 12Union SG496%
- 13Rennes491%
- 14GNK Dinamo476%
- 15Crystal Palace393%
- 16Milan399%
- 17Jagiellonia359%
- 18OFI Crete352%
- 19Torreense356%
- 20AZ Alkmaar386%
- 21Salzburg384%
- 22Real Sociedad172%
- 23Lillestrøm118%
- 24Hapoel Beer-Sheva120%
- 25Levski Sofia124%
- 26Sturm Graz146%
- 27N.E.C. Nijmegen153%
- 28Anderlecht038%
- 29Celta054%
- 30Hoffenheim047%
- 31Viktoria Plzeň033%
- 32Marseille068%
- 33Celtic038%
- 34Ararat-Armenia06%
- 35Celje019%
- 36Lech Poznań019%
How the league phase works
The Europa League league phase has 36 teams in a single table. Each team plays 8 matches against different opponents, half at home and half away. The top eight go straight into the round of 16. Teams finishing 9th to 24th play a two-legged knockout play-off in February for a place in the round of 16, while 25th to 36th are eliminated.
If teams finish level on points, the order is decided by goal difference, then goals scored, away goals scored, wins, away wins and finally the combined record of their opponents.
Frequently asked questions
What are Lech Poznań's chances of going through in the Europa League?
Across 30,000 simulations Lech Poznań go through (24th place or better) in 19% of cases and reach the top 8 in <1%. The numbers are recalculated after every matchday.
How many points do Lech Poznań need to qualify?
10 points are usually enough: a team on that total goes through in more than half of the simulations.
When is Lech Poznań's next match?
22 October, at home against Sunderland on matchday 3 of the Europa League.
Which match matters most for Lech Poznań?
The matchday 5 game away against Union SG. Winning or losing it moves their chances of going through by about 32 percentage points.
What happens to teams finishing 9th to 24th in the Europa League?
They play a two-legged knockout play-off in February for a place in the round of 16. The top eight go straight through, while 25th to 36th are eliminated.