Crystal Palace 4–0 Lech Poznań
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 1 · Thursday 17 September, 21:00
Crystal Palace beat Lech Poznań 4–0 at home on matchday 1. After the match, Crystal Palace are 15th with 3 points, with a 93% chance of going through (top 8: 27%). Lech Poznań are now 36th with 0 points, with a 19% chance of going through (top 8: <1%).
Before kick-off
What the model expected, based on team ratings before matchday 1.
The outcome the model rated most likely (64%). The model's most likely score was 1–0 (12%); the actual score had a 4% chance. Expected goals before the match: Crystal Palace 2.0, Lech Poznań 0.8.
Chances before and now
Before matchday 1 compared with now, after all results so far (including later matchdays).
| Team | Through (top 24) | Top 8 |
|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace | 88% → 93% | 36% → 27% |
| Lech Poznań | 43% → 19% | 4% → <1% |
Form and fixtures
Both teams' Europa League matches: results so far and what is still to come.
Crystal Palace
- MD1WLech Poznań H this match4–0
- MD2LLyon A2–3
- MD3Beşiktaş A22 October
- MD4Hoffenheim H5 November
- MD5Real Sociedad H26 November
- MD6Jagiellonia A10 December
- MD7Sparta Praha H21 January
- MD8Salzburg A28 January
Lech Poznań
- MD1LCrystal Palace A this match0–4
- MD2LLeverkusen H0–4
- MD3Sunderland H22 October
- MD4Benfica A5 November
- MD5Union SG A26 November
- MD6Ferencváros H10 December
- MD7Torreense H21 January
- MD8OFI Crete A28 January
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Crystal Palace vs Lech Poznań?
The match finished 4–0 (Europa League, matchday 1).
Was Crystal Palace vs Lech Poznań a surprise?
Before kick-off the model gave Crystal Palace a 64% chance of winning, a draw 21% and Lech Poznań 15%. The outcome the model rated most likely (64%). The model's most likely score was 1–0 (12%); the actual score had a 4% chance.
How did the result change Crystal Palace's chances?
Before matchday 1, Crystal Palace had a 88% chance of going through (top 8: 36%). Now it is 93% (top 8: 27%).
How did the result change Lech Poznań's chances?
Before matchday 1, Lech Poznań had a 43% chance of going through (top 8: 4%). Now it is 19% (top 8: <1%).
When was Crystal Palace vs Lech Poznań played?
Thursday 17 September, 21:00 (Europa League, matchday 1).
Big matches coming up
For each match: win probabilities and what every result means for both teams' chances of going through.
Other matchday 1 fixtures
- Ararat-Armenia – Sparta Praha (1–4)
- Omonia – Celta (1–0)
- Milan – Benfica (0–2)
- Leverkusen – Celje (2–0)
- Hapoel Beer-Sheva – GNK Dinamo (0–0)
- Olympiacos – Jagiellonia (2–1)
- Anderlecht – Lyon (1–2)
- Sturm Graz – Rennes (0–0)
- Sunderland – AZ Alkmaar (1–0)
- OFI Crete – Hoffenheim (2–0)
- Levski Sofia – Salzburg (0–1)
- Beşiktaş – Marseille (4–1)
- Celtic – Ferencváros (1–3)
- Viktoria Plzeň – Union SG (0–3)
- Juventus – N.E.C. Nijmegen (5–0)
- Lillestrøm – Torreense (1–2)
- Real Sociedad – Bournemouth (1–2)