Ajax vs Atalanta: what's at stake in the Conference League?
← Conference League: full table and chances
Matchday 2 · Thursday 22 October, 21:00
AjaxLeague phase not started yet
–Matchday 2
AtalantaLeague phase not started yet
29%Ajax win
26%Draw
45%Atalanta win
The model gives Ajax a 29% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Atalanta 45%. Ajax's chance of going through is 84% now: a win would take it to 95%, a defeat to 76%. Atalanta's chance of going through is 99% now: a win would take it to >99%, a defeat to 99%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Ajax: top 8 | Ajax: through | Atalanta: top 8 | Atalanta: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 30% | 84% | 85% | 99% |
| Ajax win | 52% | 95% | 72% | 99% |
| Draw | 28% | 85% | 84% | 99% |
| Atalanta win | 18% | 76% | 95% | >99% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
1–08%
0–28%
0–07%
Other matchday 2 fixtures
- Kairat Almaty – Panathinaikos
- Iberia Tbilisi – Mjällby
- Nordsjælland – CSKA Sofia
- Crvena Zvezda – Copenhagen
- Jablonec – Brighton
- Kauno Žalgiris – Brann
- Getafe – Lugano
- Inter Escaldes – Universitatea Craiova
- Pafos – Riga FC
- Trabzonspor – Hearts
- Aarhus – Egnatia
- Monaco – Freiburg
- Midtjylland – Sint-Truidense
- Thun – Hajduk Split
- Borac – KuPS Kuopio
- Lincoln Red Imps – Twente
- Braga – Gent