Rennes vs Omonia: what's at stake in the Europa League?
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 7 · Thursday 21 January, 21:00
The model gives Rennes a 60% chance of winning, a draw 22% and Omonia 17%. Rennes's chance of going through is 91% now: a win would take it to 97%, a defeat to 77%. Omonia's chance of going through is 82% now: a win would take it to 98%, a defeat to 75%. The most likely score is 1–0 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Outcome | Rennes: top 8 | Rennes: through | Omonia: top 8 | Omonia: through |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 21% | 91% | 9% | 82% |
| Rennes win | 29% | 97% | 4% | 75% |
| Draw | 11% | 86% | 9% | 86% |
| Omonia win | 5% | 77% | 24% | 98% |
Goals
From the model's expected goals for each side. Scores are drawn from a Poisson distribution, the standard model for football scores.
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
Form and fixtures
Both teams' Europa League matches: results so far and what is still to come.
Rennes
- MD1DSturm Graz A0–0
- MD2WOFI Crete H2–1
- MD3Juventus A22 October
- MD4Olympiacos H5 November
- MD5N.E.C. Nijmegen A26 November
- MD6GNK Dinamo H10 December
- MD7Omonia H this match21 January
- MD8Sparta Praha A28 January
Frequently asked questions
Who is favourite in Rennes vs Omonia?
The model gives Rennes a 60% chance of winning and Omonia 17%, with a draw at 22%.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely exact score is 1–0 (12%), followed by 2–0 (11%).
Will both teams score in Rennes vs Omonia?
The model gives both teams scoring a 50% chance. Expected goals are 1.9 for Rennes and 0.9 for Omonia, and the match has 3 or more goals in 52% of cases.
What does this match mean for Rennes?
Rennes's qualification chance is 91% right now. A win would make it 97%, a draw 86% and a defeat 77%.
What does this match mean for Omonia?
Omonia's qualification chance is 82% right now. A win would make it 98%, a draw 86% and a defeat 75%.
When is Rennes vs Omonia played?
Thursday 21 January, 21:00 (Europa League, matchday 7).
Big matches coming up
For each match: win probabilities and what every result means for both teams' chances of going through.
Other matchday 7 fixtures
- Beşiktaş – Union SG
- Ararat-Armenia – Celje
- Ferencváros – Juventus
- Jagiellonia – Lyon
- Lillestrøm – Bournemouth
- N.E.C. Nijmegen – Benfica
- Olympiacos – Hoffenheim
- Real Sociedad – Viktoria Plzeň
- Sturm Graz – OFI Crete
- AZ Alkmaar – GNK Dinamo
- Leverkusen – Salzburg
- Celtic – Marseille
- Crystal Palace – Sparta Praha
- Hapoel Beer-Sheva – Celta
- Lech Poznań – Torreense
- Levski Sofia – Milan
- Anderlecht – Sunderland