Rennes vs Omonia: what's at stake in the Europa League?
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 7 · Thursday 21 January, 21:00
Rennes17th, 1 pts
–Matchday 7
Omonia15th, 3 pts
64%Rennes win
21%Draw
15%Omonia win
The model gives Rennes a 64% chance of winning, a draw 21% and Omonia 15%. Rennes's chance of going through is 83% now: a win would take it to 91%, a defeat to 62%. Omonia's chance of going through is 46% now: a win would take it to 76%, a defeat to 37%. The most likely score is 1–0 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Rennes: top 8 | Rennes: through | Omonia: top 8 | Omonia: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 23% | 83% | 4% | 46% |
| Rennes win | 30% | 91% | 2% | 37% |
| Draw | 12% | 76% | 4% | 52% |
| Omonia win | 6% | 62% | 11% | 76% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–16%
Other matchday 7 fixtures
- Beşiktaş – Union SG
- Ararat-Armenia – Celje
- Ferencváros – Juventus
- Jagiellonia – Lyon
- Lillestrøm – Bournemouth
- N.E.C. Nijmegen – Benfica
- Olympiacos – Hoffenheim
- Real Sociedad – Viktoria Plzeň
- Sturm Graz – OFI Crete
- AZ Alkmaar – GNK Dinamo
- Leverkusen – Salzburg
- Celtic – Marseille
- Crystal Palace – Sparta Praha
- Hapoel Beer-Sheva – Celta
- Lech Poznań – Torreense
- Levski Sofia – Milan
- Anderlecht – Sunderland