Anderlecht vs Sunderland: what's at stake in the Europa League?
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 7 · Thursday 21 January, 21:00
Anderlecht23rd, 0 pts
–Matchday 7
Sunderland16th, 3 pts
38%Anderlecht win
26%Draw
35%Sunderland win
The model gives Anderlecht a 38% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Sunderland 35%. Anderlecht's chance of going through is 50% now: a win would take it to 68%, a defeat to 34%. Sunderland's chance of going through is 93% now: a win would take it to 99%, a defeat to 88%. The most likely score is 1–1 (13%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Anderlecht: top 8 | Anderlecht: through | Sunderland: top 8 | Sunderland: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 5% | 50% | 42% | 93% |
| Anderlecht win | 10% | 68% | 27% | 88% |
| Draw | 3% | 46% | 38% | 93% |
| Sunderland win | 1% | 34% | 62% | 99% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–08%
Other matchday 7 fixtures
- Beşiktaş – Union SG
- Ararat-Armenia – Celje
- Ferencváros – Juventus
- Jagiellonia – Lyon
- Lillestrøm – Bournemouth
- N.E.C. Nijmegen – Benfica
- Olympiacos – Hoffenheim
- Real Sociedad – Viktoria Plzeň
- Sturm Graz – OFI Crete
- AZ Alkmaar – GNK Dinamo
- Leverkusen – Salzburg
- Celtic – Marseille
- Crystal Palace – Sparta Praha
- Hapoel Beer-Sheva – Celta
- Lech Poznań – Torreense
- Levski Sofia – Milan
- Rennes – Omonia