Lillestrøm vs Bournemouth: what's at stake in the Europa League?
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 7 · Thursday 21 January, 18:45
Lillestrøm24th, 0 pts
–Matchday 7
Bournemouth12th, 3 pts
19%Lillestrøm win
23%Draw
58%Bournemouth win
The model gives Lillestrøm a 19% chance of winning, a draw 23% and Bournemouth 58%. Lillestrøm's chance of going through is 15% now: a win would take it to 33%, a defeat to 9%. Bournemouth's chance of going through is 97% now: a win would take it to 99%, a defeat to 91%. The most likely score is 0–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Lillestrøm: top 8 | Lillestrøm: through | Bournemouth: top 8 | Bournemouth: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 15% | 57% | 97% |
| Lillestrøm win | 2% | 33% | 34% | 91% |
| Draw | <1% | 16% | 46% | 96% |
| Bournemouth win | <1% | 9% | 69% | 99% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
0–112%
1–111%
0–211%
1–210%
0–07%
0–36%
Other matchday 7 fixtures
- Beşiktaş – Union SG
- Ararat-Armenia – Celje
- Ferencváros – Juventus
- Jagiellonia – Lyon
- N.E.C. Nijmegen – Benfica
- Olympiacos – Hoffenheim
- Real Sociedad – Viktoria Plzeň
- Sturm Graz – OFI Crete
- AZ Alkmaar – GNK Dinamo
- Leverkusen – Salzburg
- Celtic – Marseille
- Crystal Palace – Sparta Praha
- Hapoel Beer-Sheva – Celta
- Lech Poznań – Torreense
- Levski Sofia – Milan
- Anderlecht – Sunderland
- Rennes – Omonia