Ararat-Armenia vs Celje: what's at stake in the Europa League?
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 7 · Thursday 21 January, 18:45
Ararat-Armenia33rd, 0 pts
–Matchday 7
Celje31st, 0 pts
33%Ararat-Armenia win
26%Draw
41%Celje win
The model gives Ararat-Armenia a 33% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Celje 41%. Ararat-Armenia's chance of going through is 10% now: a win would take it to 21%, a defeat to 4%. Celje's chance of going through is 40% now: a win would take it to 57%, a defeat to 23%. The most likely score is 1–1 (13%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Ararat-Armenia: top 8 | Ararat-Armenia: through | Celje: top 8 | Celje: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 10% | 3% | 40% |
| Ararat-Armenia win | <1% | 21% | 1% | 23% |
| Draw | <1% | 8% | 1% | 34% |
| Celje win | <1% | 4% | 6% | 57% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–113%
0–110%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–08%
Other matchday 7 fixtures
- Beşiktaş – Union SG
- Ferencváros – Juventus
- Jagiellonia – Lyon
- Lillestrøm – Bournemouth
- N.E.C. Nijmegen – Benfica
- Olympiacos – Hoffenheim
- Real Sociedad – Viktoria Plzeň
- Sturm Graz – OFI Crete
- AZ Alkmaar – GNK Dinamo
- Leverkusen – Salzburg
- Celtic – Marseille
- Crystal Palace – Sparta Praha
- Hapoel Beer-Sheva – Celta
- Lech Poznań – Torreense
- Levski Sofia – Milan
- Anderlecht – Sunderland
- Rennes – Omonia