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What does Torreense need to go through in the Europa League?

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Updated 21 October 2026, 2026/27 league phase

After matchday 2, Torreense are 19th with 3 points. Next match: 22 October, away against Ferencváros. In our simulations Torreense go through (24th place or better) in 56% of cases and make the top 8 in 3%. 9 points are usually enough (a team on that total goes through in more than half of the simulations), and 10 points make it almost certain. The biggest match is the matchday 4 game at home against Ararat-Armenia: winning or losing it moves the chances by 42 percentage points.

19thleague position
3points from 2 matches
56%chance of going through (top 24)
3%chance of making the top 8

30,000 simulations. Most likely finish: 23rd, average 22.9.

Torreense matches

Times in your time zone. Under each match you can see how its result changes the chance of going through. Enter your own prediction and every number on the page updates.

  1. Matchday 1Thursday 17 September, 21:00
    AwayLillestrøm2–1
    Win 32%, draw 26%, defeat 42%
    Chance of going through:Played
  2. Matchday 2Thursday 15 October, 18:45
    HomeSunderland1–2
    Win 24%, draw 25%, defeat 51%
    Chance of going through:Played
  3. Matchday 3Thursday 22 October, 18:45
    AwayFerencváros –
    Win 17%, draw 22%, defeat 61%
    Chance of going through:If they win85%If they draw61%If they lose47%
  4. Matchday 4Thursday 5 November, 21:00
    Win 56%, draw 24%, defeat 21%
    Chance of going through:If they win71%If they draw44%If they lose30%
  5. Matchday 5Thursday 26 November, 21:00
    HomeCeltic –
    Win 30%, draw 26%, defeat 44%
    Chance of going through:If they win81%If they draw55%If they lose40%
  6. Matchday 6Thursday 10 December, 21:00
    AwayReal Sociedad –
    Win 13%, draw 19%, defeat 68%
    Chance of going through:If they win88%If they draw64%If they lose48%
  7. Matchday 7Thursday 21 January, 21:00
    AwayLech Poznań –
    Win 25%, draw 25%, defeat 49%
    Chance of going through:If they win83%If they draw57%If they lose42%
  8. Matchday 8Thursday 28 January, 21:00
    HomeOlympiacos –
    Win 20%, draw 23%, defeat 56%
    Chance of going through:If they win83%If they draw60%If they lose45%

How many points are needed?

Chance of going through depending on how many points Torreense collect in the league phase.

0unlikely
1unlikely
2unlikely
30%
40%
50%
60%
71%
820%
968%
1097%
11100%
12100%
13100%
14100%
15100%
16100%
17100%
18100%
19unlikely
20unlikely
21unlikely
22unlikely
23unlikely
24unlikely
almost certainlikelypossible

Where could Torreense finish?

Final position chances across the simulations.

1st8th24th36th

White: top 8, yellow: 9th–24th, grey: eliminated.

Europa League table

The current table. Click a team to open its page. On the right: chance of going through. The solid line after 8th means a direct place in the round of 16, the dashed line after 24th is the elimination line.

  1. 1Juventus6100%
  2. 2Leverkusen6>99%
  3. 3Benfica6100%
  4. 4Beşiktaş698%
  5. 5Bournemouth6>99%
  6. 6Omonia682%
  7. 7Ferencváros697%
  8. 8Lyon699%
  9. 9Sunderland699%
  10. 10Olympiacos699%
  11. 11Sparta Praha480%
  12. 12Union SG496%
  13. 13Rennes491%
  14. 14GNK Dinamo476%
  15. 15Crystal Palace393%
  16. 16Milan399%
  17. 17Jagiellonia359%
  18. 18OFI Crete352%
  19. 19Torreense356%
  20. 20AZ Alkmaar386%
  21. 21Salzburg384%
  22. 22Real Sociedad172%
  23. 23Lillestrøm118%
  24. 24Hapoel Beer-Sheva120%
  25. 25Levski Sofia124%
  26. 26Sturm Graz146%
  27. 27N.E.C. Nijmegen153%
  28. 28Anderlecht038%
  29. 29Celta054%
  30. 30Hoffenheim047%
  31. 31Viktoria Plzeň033%
  32. 32Marseille068%
  33. 33Celtic038%
  34. 34Ararat-Armenia06%
  35. 35Celje019%
  36. 36Lech Poznań019%

How the league phase works

The Europa League league phase has 36 teams in a single table. Each team plays 8 matches against different opponents, half at home and half away. The top eight go straight into the round of 16. Teams finishing 9th to 24th play a two-legged knockout play-off in February for a place in the round of 16, while 25th to 36th are eliminated.

If teams finish level on points, the order is decided by goal difference, then goals scored, away goals scored, wins, away wins and finally the combined record of their opponents.

Frequently asked questions

What are Torreense's chances of going through in the Europa League?

Across 30,000 simulations Torreense go through (24th place or better) in 56% of cases and reach the top 8 in 3%. The numbers are recalculated after every matchday.

How many points do Torreense need to qualify?

9 points are usually enough: a team on that total goes through in more than half of the simulations. 10 points make it almost certain.

When is Torreense's next match?

22 October, away against Ferencváros on matchday 3 of the Europa League.

Which match matters most for Torreense?

The matchday 4 game at home against Ararat-Armenia. Winning or losing it moves their chances of going through by about 42 percentage points.

What happens to teams finishing 9th to 24th in the Europa League?

They play a two-legged knockout play-off in February for a place in the round of 16. The top eight go straight through, while 25th to 36th are eliminated.