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Lillestrøm 1–2 Torreense

← Europa League: full table and chances

Matchday 1 · Thursday 17 September, 21:00

Lillestrøm23rd, 1 pt
1–2Final score
Torreense19th, 3 pts

Torreense won 2–1 away at Lillestrøm on matchday 1. After the match, Lillestrøm are 23rd with 1 point, with a 18% chance of going through (top 8: <1%). Torreense are now 19th with 3 points, with a 56% chance of going through (top 8: 3%).

Before kick-off

What the model expected, based on team ratings before matchday 1.

44%Lillestrøm win
26%Draw
30%Torreense win

Not the most likely outcome, but no big surprise either: the model gave it 30%. The model's most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the actual score had a 7% chance. Expected goals before the match: Lillestrøm 1.5, Torreense 1.2.

Chances before and now

Before matchday 1 compared with now, after all results so far (including later matchdays).

TeamThrough (top 24)Top 8
Lillestrøm30% → 18%2% → <1%
Torreense39% → 56%4% → 3%

Form and fixtures

Both teams' Europa League matches: results so far and what is still to come.

Lillestrøm

1 point from 2 matches, goal difference -1

  1. MD1LTorreense H this match1–2
  2. MD2DSparta Praha A1–1
  3. MD3Real Sociedad H22 October
  4. MD4Viktoria Plzeň H5 November
  5. MD5Lyon A26 November
  6. MD6Levski Sofia A10 December
  7. MD7Bournemouth H21 January
  8. MD8Celta A28 January

Torreense

3 points from 2 matches, goal difference 0

  1. MD1WLillestrøm A this match2–1
  2. MD2LSunderland H1–2
  3. MD3Ferencváros A22 October
  4. MD4Ararat-Armenia H5 November
  5. MD5Celtic H26 November
  6. MD6Real Sociedad A10 December
  7. MD7Lech Poznań A21 January
  8. MD8Olympiacos H28 January

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Lillestrøm vs Torreense?

The match finished 1–2 (Europa League, matchday 1).

Was Lillestrøm vs Torreense a surprise?

Before kick-off the model gave Lillestrøm a 44% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Torreense 30%. Not the most likely outcome, but no big surprise either: the model gave it 30%. The model's most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the actual score had a 7% chance.

How did the result change Lillestrøm's chances?

Before matchday 1, Lillestrøm had a 30% chance of going through (top 8: 2%). Now it is 18% (top 8: <1%).

How did the result change Torreense's chances?

Before matchday 1, Torreense had a 39% chance of going through (top 8: 4%). Now it is 56% (top 8: 3%).

When was Lillestrøm vs Torreense played?

Thursday 17 September, 21:00 (Europa League, matchday 1).

Big matches coming up

For each match: win probabilities and what every result means for both teams' chances of going through.

Other matchday 1 fixtures

Full matchday 1: what every team needs →