Lillestrøm 1–2 Torreense
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 1 · Thursday 17 September, 21:00
Torreense won 2–1 away at Lillestrøm on matchday 1. After the match, Lillestrøm are 23rd with 1 point, with a 18% chance of going through (top 8: <1%). Torreense are now 19th with 3 points, with a 56% chance of going through (top 8: 3%).
Before kick-off
What the model expected, based on team ratings before matchday 1.
Not the most likely outcome, but no big surprise either: the model gave it 30%. The model's most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the actual score had a 7% chance. Expected goals before the match: Lillestrøm 1.5, Torreense 1.2.
Chances before and now
Before matchday 1 compared with now, after all results so far (including later matchdays).
| Team | Through (top 24) | Top 8 |
|---|---|---|
| Lillestrøm | 30% → 18% | 2% → <1% |
| Torreense | 39% → 56% | 4% → 3% |
Form and fixtures
Both teams' Europa League matches: results so far and what is still to come.
Lillestrøm
- MD1LTorreense H this match1–2
- MD2DSparta Praha A1–1
- MD3Real Sociedad H22 October
- MD4Viktoria Plzeň H5 November
- MD5Lyon A26 November
- MD6Levski Sofia A10 December
- MD7Bournemouth H21 January
- MD8Celta A28 January
Torreense
- MD1WLillestrøm A this match2–1
- MD2LSunderland H1–2
- MD3Ferencváros A22 October
- MD4Ararat-Armenia H5 November
- MD5Celtic H26 November
- MD6Real Sociedad A10 December
- MD7Lech Poznań A21 January
- MD8Olympiacos H28 January
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Lillestrøm vs Torreense?
The match finished 1–2 (Europa League, matchday 1).
Was Lillestrøm vs Torreense a surprise?
Before kick-off the model gave Lillestrøm a 44% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Torreense 30%. Not the most likely outcome, but no big surprise either: the model gave it 30%. The model's most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the actual score had a 7% chance.
How did the result change Lillestrøm's chances?
Before matchday 1, Lillestrøm had a 30% chance of going through (top 8: 2%). Now it is 18% (top 8: <1%).
How did the result change Torreense's chances?
Before matchday 1, Torreense had a 39% chance of going through (top 8: 4%). Now it is 56% (top 8: 3%).
When was Lillestrøm vs Torreense played?
Thursday 17 September, 21:00 (Europa League, matchday 1).
Big matches coming up
For each match: win probabilities and what every result means for both teams' chances of going through.
Other matchday 1 fixtures
- Ararat-Armenia – Sparta Praha (1–4)
- Omonia – Celta (1–0)
- Milan – Benfica (0–2)
- Leverkusen – Celje (2–0)
- Hapoel Beer-Sheva – GNK Dinamo (0–0)
- Olympiacos – Jagiellonia (2–1)
- Anderlecht – Lyon (1–2)
- Sturm Graz – Rennes (0–0)
- Sunderland – AZ Alkmaar (1–0)
- OFI Crete – Hoffenheim (2–0)
- Levski Sofia – Salzburg (0–1)
- Beşiktaş – Marseille (4–1)
- Celtic – Ferencváros (1–3)
- Crystal Palace – Lech Poznań (4–0)
- Viktoria Plzeň – Union SG (0–3)
- Juventus – N.E.C. Nijmegen (5–0)
- Real Sociedad – Bournemouth (1–2)