Hapoel Beer-Sheva vs Celta: what's at stake in the Europa League?
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 7 · Thursday 21 January, 21:00
Hapoel Beer-Sheva18th, 1 pts
–Matchday 7
Celta26th, 0 pts
28%Hapoel Beer-Sheva win
26%Draw
46%Celta win
The model gives Hapoel Beer-Sheva a 28% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Celta 46%. Hapoel Beer-Sheva's chance of going through is 27% now: a win would take it to 49%, a defeat to 15%. Celta's chance of going through is 64% now: a win would take it to 80%, a defeat to 44%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Hapoel Beer-Sheva: top 8 | Hapoel Beer-Sheva: through | Celta: top 8 | Celta: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 1% | 27% | 9% | 64% |
| Hapoel Beer-Sheva win | 3% | 49% | 3% | 44% |
| Draw | 1% | 25% | 6% | 57% |
| Celta win | <1% | 15% | 16% | 80% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
0–28%
1–08%
0–07%
Other matchday 7 fixtures
- Beşiktaş – Union SG
- Ararat-Armenia – Celje
- Ferencváros – Juventus
- Jagiellonia – Lyon
- Lillestrøm – Bournemouth
- N.E.C. Nijmegen – Benfica
- Olympiacos – Hoffenheim
- Real Sociedad – Viktoria Plzeň
- Sturm Graz – OFI Crete
- AZ Alkmaar – GNK Dinamo
- Leverkusen – Salzburg
- Celtic – Marseille
- Crystal Palace – Sparta Praha
- Lech Poznań – Torreense
- Levski Sofia – Milan
- Anderlecht – Sunderland
- Rennes – Omonia