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Europa League matchday 7: what every team needs

← Europa League: full table and chances

Updated 28 September 2026, 2026/27 league phase

Europa League matchday 7 is played on 21 January across 18 fixtures. The most is at stake for Sturm Graz: a win would lift their chances of going through to 68%, a defeat would drop them to 30%.

Matchday 7 fixtures

Model probabilities for each fixture: home win, draw, away win.

  1. Thu 21 Jan, 18:45 Ararat-Armenia – Celje 32% · 26% · 42%
  2. Thu 21 Jan, 18:45 Beşiktaş – Union SG 41% · 26% · 32%
  3. Thu 21 Jan, 18:45 Ferencváros – Juventus 21% · 24% · 55%
  4. Thu 21 Jan, 18:45 Jagiellonia – Lyon 22% · 24% · 54%
  5. Thu 21 Jan, 18:45 Lillestrøm – Bournemouth 17% · 22% · 60%
  6. Thu 21 Jan, 18:45 N.E.C. Nijmegen – Benfica 21% · 24% · 55%
  7. Thu 21 Jan, 18:45 Olympiacos – Hoffenheim 47% · 26% · 27%
  8. Thu 21 Jan, 18:45 Real Sociedad – Viktoria Plzeň 57% · 23% · 20%
  9. Thu 21 Jan, 18:45 Sturm Graz – OFI Crete 52% · 25% · 24%
  10. Thu 21 Jan, 21:00 Anderlecht – Sunderland 36% · 26% · 37%
  11. Thu 21 Jan, 21:00 AZ Alkmaar – GNK Dinamo 53% · 24% · 23%
  12. Thu 21 Jan, 21:00 Celtic – Marseille 32% · 26% · 42%
  13. Thu 21 Jan, 21:00 Crystal Palace – Sparta Praha 55% · 24% · 21%
  14. Thu 21 Jan, 21:00 Hapoel Beer-Sheva – Celta 29% · 26% · 45%
  15. Thu 21 Jan, 21:00 Lech Poznań – Torreense 50% · 25% · 25%
  16. Thu 21 Jan, 21:00 Leverkusen – Salzburg 64% · 21% · 15%
  17. Thu 21 Jan, 21:00 Levski Sofia – Milan 14% · 20% · 66%
  18. Thu 21 Jan, 21:00 Rennes – Omonia 63% · 21% · 16%

Who has the most at stake

The teams whose chances of going through move most with this matchday's result.

TeamFixtureNowIf they winIf they lose
Sturm GrazSturm Graz – OFI Crete53%68%30%
OFI CreteSturm Graz – OFI Crete56%81%43%
OmoniaRennes – Omonia49%78%40%
Viktoria PlzeňReal Sociedad – Viktoria Plzeň45%71%34%
Real SociedadReal Sociedad – Viktoria Plzeň68%80%44%

Frequently asked questions

When is Europa League matchday 7 played?

On 21 January, across 18 fixtures.

Which team has the most at stake on matchday 7?

Sturm Graz. A win lifts their chances of going through to 68%, a defeat drops them to 30% — a swing of about 38 percentage points.

What does the table look like before matchday 7?

Juventus lead with 3 points. The full table with every team's chances is on the Europa League page.

How many points are needed to qualify?

In the simulations 15 points usually secure the top 8, and 9 points are usually enough for 24th place or better.

Other matchdays