Lech Poznań 0–4 Leverkusen
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 2 · Thursday 15 October, 18:45
Leverkusen won 4–0 away at Lech Poznań on matchday 2. After the match, Lech Poznań are 36th with 0 points, with a 19% chance of going through (top 8: <1%). Leverkusen are now 2nd with 6 points, with a >99% chance of going through (top 8: 83%).
Before kick-off
What the model expected, based on team ratings before matchday 2.
The outcome the model rated most likely (62%). The model's most likely score was 0–1 (12%); the actual score had a 4% chance. Expected goals before the match: Lech Poznań 0.9, Leverkusen 1.9.
Chances before and now
Before matchday 2 compared with now, after all results so far.
| Team | Position | Through (top 24) | Top 8 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lech Poznań | 35th → 36th | 28% → 19% | 1% → <1% |
| Leverkusen | 8th → 2nd | 99% → >99% | 74% → 83% |
Form and fixtures
Both teams' Europa League matches: results so far and what is still to come.
Lech Poznań
- MD1LCrystal Palace A0–4
- MD2LLeverkusen H this match0–4
- MD3Sunderland H22 October
- MD4Benfica A5 November
- MD5Union SG A26 November
- MD6Ferencváros H10 December
- MD7Torreense H21 January
- MD8OFI Crete A28 January
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Lech Poznań vs Leverkusen?
The match finished 0–4 (Europa League, matchday 2).
Was Lech Poznań vs Bayer Leverkusen a surprise?
Before kick-off the model gave Lech Poznań a 16% chance of winning, a draw 21% and Leverkusen 62%. The outcome the model rated most likely (62%). The model's most likely score was 0–1 (12%); the actual score had a 4% chance.
How did the result change Lech Poznań's chances?
Before matchday 2, Lech Poznań had a 28% chance of going through (top 8: 1%). Now it is 19% (top 8: <1%).
How did the result change Leverkusen's chances?
Before matchday 2, Leverkusen had a 99% chance of going through (top 8: 74%). Now it is >99% (top 8: 83%).
When was Lech Poznań vs Leverkusen played?
Thursday 15 October, 18:45 (Europa League, matchday 2).
Big matches coming up
For each match: win probabilities and what every result means for both teams' chances of going through.
Other matchday 2 fixtures
- Sparta Praha – Lillestrøm (1–1)
- AZ Alkmaar – Hapoel Beer-Sheva (2–1)
- Salzburg – Milan (0–4)
- Celje – Omonia (0–3)
- Lyon – Crystal Palace (3–2)
- Union SG – Real Sociedad (1–1)
- Torreense – Sunderland (1–2)
- Bournemouth – Sturm Graz (3–0)
- Ferencváros – Viktoria Plzeň (2–1)
- GNK Dinamo – Anderlecht (1–0)
- Jagiellonia – Ararat-Armenia (3–1)
- N.E.C. Nijmegen – Levski Sofia (1–1)
- Marseille – Olympiacos (0–1)
- Celta – Juventus (1–2)
- Benfica – Celtic (4–1)
- Rennes – OFI Crete (2–1)
- Hoffenheim – Beşiktaş (2–3)