Lech Poznań vs Leverkusen: what's at stake in the Europa League?
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 2 · Thursday 15 October, 18:45
Lech Poznań35th, 0 pts
–Matchday 2
Leverkusen8th, 3 pts
17%Lech Poznań win
22%Draw
61%Leverkusen win
The model gives Lech Poznań a 17% chance of winning, a draw 22% and Leverkusen 61%. Lech Poznań's chance of going through is 33% now: a win would take it to 58%, a defeat to 24%. Leverkusen's chance of going through is 99% now: a win would take it to >99%, a defeat to 97%. The most likely score is 0–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Lech Poznań: top 8 | Lech Poznań: through | Leverkusen: top 8 | Leverkusen: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 2% | 33% | 75% | 99% |
| Lech Poznań win | 6% | 58% | 54% | 97% |
| Draw | 2% | 36% | 65% | 99% |
| Leverkusen win | 1% | 24% | 84% | >99% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
0–112%
0–211%
1–111%
1–210%
0–37%
0–06%
Other matchday 2 fixtures
- Sparta Praha – Lillestrøm
- AZ Alkmaar – Hapoel Beer-Sheva
- Salzburg – Milan
- Celje – Omonia
- Lyon – Crystal Palace
- Union SG – Real Sociedad
- Torreense – Sunderland
- Bournemouth – Sturm Graz
- Ferencváros – Viktoria Plzeň
- GNK Dinamo – Anderlecht
- Jagiellonia – Ararat-Armenia
- N.E.C. Nijmegen – Levski Sofia
- Marseille – Olympiacos
- Celta – Juventus
- Benfica – Celtic
- Rennes – OFI Crete
- Hoffenheim – Beşiktaş