N.E.C. Nijmegen vs Benfica: what's at stake in the Europa League?
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 7 · Thursday 21 January, 18:45
N.E.C. Nijmegen36th, 0 pts
–Matchday 7
Benfica7th, 3 pts
23%N.E.C. Nijmegen win
25%Draw
52%Benfica win
The model gives N.E.C. Nijmegen a 23% chance of winning, a draw 25% and Benfica 52%. N.E.C. Nijmegen's chance of going through is 63% now: a win would take it to 83%, a defeat to 53%. Benfica's chance of going through is 99% now: a win would take it to >99%, a defeat to 99%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| N.E.C. Nijmegen: top 8 | N.E.C. Nijmegen: through | Benfica: top 8 | Benfica: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 9% | 63% | 82% | 99% |
| N.E.C. Nijmegen win | 21% | 83% | 66% | 99% |
| Draw | 8% | 63% | 77% | 99% |
| Benfica win | 4% | 53% | 91% | >99% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–112%
0–112%
1–210%
0–29%
1–07%
0–07%
Other matchday 7 fixtures
- Beşiktaş – Union SG
- Ararat-Armenia – Celje
- Ferencváros – Juventus
- Jagiellonia – Lyon
- Lillestrøm – Bournemouth
- Olympiacos – Hoffenheim
- Real Sociedad – Viktoria Plzeň
- Sturm Graz – OFI Crete
- AZ Alkmaar – GNK Dinamo
- Leverkusen – Salzburg
- Celtic – Marseille
- Crystal Palace – Sparta Praha
- Hapoel Beer-Sheva – Celta
- Lech Poznań – Torreense
- Levski Sofia – Milan
- Anderlecht – Sunderland
- Rennes – Omonia