Roma vs Sporting CP: what's at stake in the Champions League?
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Matchday 6 · Tuesday 8 December, 21:00
Roma17th, 1 pts
–Matchday 6
Sporting CP6th, 3 pts
43%Roma win
26%Draw
31%Sporting CP win
The model gives Roma a 43% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Sporting CP 31%. Roma's chance of going through is 73% now: a win would take it to 88%, a defeat to 57%. Sporting CP's chance of going through is 89% now: a win would take it to 98%, a defeat to 82%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Roma: top 8 | Roma: through | Sporting CP: top 8 | Sporting CP: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 8% | 73% | 21% | 89% |
| Roma win | 14% | 88% | 11% | 82% |
| Draw | 4% | 69% | 18% | 91% |
| Sporting CP win | 2% | 57% | 37% | 98% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–07%
Other matchday 6 fixtures
- Viking – Feyenoord
- Villarreal – Sabah
- AEK Athens – Galatasaray
- Aston Villa – Paris Saint-Germain
- Barcelona – Manchester City
- Bayern München – Slavia Praha
- Manchester United – Leipzig
- Napoli – Club Brugge
- Real Betis – Como
- Slovan Bratislava – Shakhtar Donetsk
- Arsenal – Real Madrid
- Borussia Dortmund – Inter
- LASK – Fenerbahçe
- Liverpool – Porto
- Lens – Bodø/Glimt
- PSV Eindhoven – Atlético de Madrid
- Stuttgart – Lille