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Viking vs Feyenoord: what's at stake in the Champions League?

← Champions League: full table and chances

Matchday 6 · Tuesday 8 December, 18:45

Viking33rd, 1 pt
–Matchday 6
Feyenoord26th, 3 pts
26%Viking win
25%Draw
48%Feyenoord win

The model gives Viking a 26% chance of winning, a draw 25% and Feyenoord 48%. Viking's chance of going through is 9% now: a win would take it to 23%, a defeat to 3%. Feyenoord's chance of going through is 57% now: a win would take it to 74%, a defeat to 33%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).

What each result means

Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.

OutcomeViking: top 8Viking: throughFeyenoord: top 8Feyenoord: through
Now<1%9%2%57%
Viking win<1%23%<1%33%
Draw0%7%<1%48%
Feyenoord win0%3%3%74%

Goals

From the model's expected goals for each side. Scores are drawn from a Poisson distribution, the standard model for football scores.

1.1 – 1.6Expected goals
52%Both teams score
49%3 or more goals
21%Viking clean sheet
34%Feyenoord clean sheet

Most likely scores

The most likely exact scores according to the model.

1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–07%

Form and fixtures

Both teams' Champions League matches: results so far and what is still to come.

Viking

1 point from 3 matches, goal difference -4

  1. MD1LStuttgart A1–3
  2. MD2DBayern München H3–3
  3. MD3LAston Villa A1–3
  4. MD4Sabah H4 November
  5. MD5Atlético de Madrid A25 November
  6. MD6Feyenoord H this match8 December
  7. MD7PSV Eindhoven H20 January
  8. MD8Napoli A27 January

Feyenoord

3 points from 3 matches, goal difference -4

  1. MD1LBarcelona A1–5
  2. MD2WComo H3–2
  3. MD3LReal Betis A0–1
  4. MD4Inter H3 November
  5. MD5Porto H24 November
  6. MD6Viking A this match8 December
  7. MD7Galatasaray A19 January
  8. MD8Leipzig H27 January

Frequently asked questions

Who is favourite in Viking vs Feyenoord?

The model gives Viking a 26% chance of winning and Feyenoord 48%, with a draw at 25%.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely exact score is 1–1 (12%), followed by 0–1 (11%).

Will both teams score in Viking vs Feyenoord?

The model gives both teams scoring a 52% chance. Expected goals are 1.1 for Viking and 1.6 for Feyenoord, and the match has 3 or more goals in 49% of cases.

What does this match mean for Viking?

Viking's qualification chance is 9% right now. A win would make it 23%, a draw 7% and a defeat 3%.

What does this match mean for Feyenoord?

Feyenoord's qualification chance is 57% right now. A win would make it 74%, a draw 48% and a defeat 33%.

When is Viking vs Feyenoord played?

Tuesday 8 December, 18:45 (Champions League, matchday 6).

Big matches coming up

For each match: win probabilities and what every result means for both teams' chances of going through.

Other matchday 6 fixtures

Full matchday 6: what every team needs →