Knockout Math
Latviski

Viking vs Feyenoord: what's at stake in the Champions League?

← Champions League: full table and chances

Matchday 6 · Tuesday 8 December, 18:45

Viking30th, 0 pts
–Matchday 6
Feyenoord33rd, 0 pts
27%Viking win
25%Draw
48%Feyenoord win

The model gives Viking a 27% chance of winning, a draw 25% and Feyenoord 48%. Viking's chance of going through is 10% now: a win would take it to 23%, a defeat to 3%. Feyenoord's chance of going through is 47% now: a win would take it to 62%, a defeat to 28%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).

What each result means

Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.

Viking: top 8Viking: throughFeyenoord: top 8Feyenoord: through
Now<1%10%3%47%
Viking win<1%23%1%28%
Draw0%8%1%39%
Feyenoord win<1%3%4%62%

Most likely scores

The most likely exact scores according to the model.

1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–07%

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