Sporting CP vs LASK: what's at stake in the Champions League?
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Matchday 3 · Wednesday 21 October, 21:00
Sporting CP6th, 3 pts
–Matchday 3
LASK27th, 0 pts
72%Sporting CP win
17%Draw
11%LASK win
The model gives Sporting CP a 72% chance of winning, a draw 17% and LASK 11%. Sporting CP's chance of going through is 89% now: a win would take it to 94%, a defeat to 70%. LASK's chance of going through is 11% now: a win would take it to 32%, a defeat to 8%. The most likely score is 2–0 (13%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Sporting CP: top 8 | Sporting CP: through | LASK: top 8 | LASK: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 21% | 89% | <1% | 11% |
| Sporting CP win | 25% | 94% | <1% | 8% |
| Draw | 11% | 81% | <1% | 14% |
| LASK win | 6% | 70% | 1% | 32% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
2–013%
1–011%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
Other matchday 3 fixtures
- Fenerbahçe – Slavia Praha
- Sabah – Borussia Dortmund
- Roma – Slovan Bratislava
- Porto – PSV Eindhoven
- Liverpool – Villarreal
- Manchester City – AEK Athens
- Paris Saint-Germain – Barcelona
- Napoli – Bodø/Glimt
- Stuttgart – Atlético de Madrid
- Como – Manchester United
- Lille – Galatasaray
- Aston Villa – Viking
- Club Brugge – Lens
- Bayern München – Arsenal
- Inter – Shakhtar Donetsk
- Real Madrid – Leipzig
- Real Betis – Feyenoord