Fenerbahçe 1–1 Roma
← Champions League: full table and chances
Matchday 1 · Thursday 10 September, 18:45
Fenerbahçe and Roma drew 1–1 on matchday 1. After the match, Fenerbahçe are 31st with 2 points, with a 30% chance of going through (top 8: <1%). Roma are now 15th with 4 points, with a 77% chance of going through (top 8: 5%).
Before kick-off
What the model expected, based on team ratings before matchday 1.
Not the most likely outcome, but no big surprise either: the model gave it 26%. The exact score was also the model's most likely one (13%). Expected goals before the match: Fenerbahçe 1.3, Roma 1.3.
Chances before and now
Before matchday 1 compared with now, after all results so far (including later matchdays).
| Team | Through (top 24) | Top 8 |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahçe | 62% → 30% | 7% → <1% |
| Roma | 74% → 77% | 13% → 5% |
Form and fixtures
Both teams' Champions League matches: results so far and what is still to come.
Fenerbahçe
- MD1DRoma H this match1–1
- MD2LAston Villa A0–6
- MD3DSlavia Praha H2–2
- MD4Liverpool H4 November
- MD5Shakhtar Donetsk A25 November
- MD6LASK A9 December
- MD7Villarreal H20 January
- MD8Atlético de Madrid A27 January
Roma
- MD1DFenerbahçe A this match1–1
- MD2LReal Madrid H3–4
- MD3WSlovan Bratislava H4–0
- MD4Manchester United A3 November
- MD5Paris Saint-Germain A25 November
- MD6Sporting CP H8 December
- MD7AEK Athens A19 January
- MD8Lille H27 January
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Fenerbahçe vs Roma?
The match finished 1–1 (Champions League, matchday 1).
Was Fenerbahçe vs Roma a surprise?
Before kick-off the model gave Fenerbahçe a 37% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Roma 36%. Not the most likely outcome, but no big surprise either: the model gave it 26%. The exact score was also the model's most likely one (13%).
How did the result change Fenerbahçe's chances?
Before matchday 1, Fenerbahçe had a 62% chance of going through (top 8: 7%). Now it is 30% (top 8: <1%).
How did the result change Roma's chances?
Before matchday 1, Roma had a 74% chance of going through (top 8: 13%). Now it is 77% (top 8: 5%).
When was Fenerbahçe vs Roma played?
Thursday 10 September, 18:45 (Champions League, matchday 1).
Big matches coming up
For each match: win probabilities and what every result means for both teams' chances of going through.
Other matchday 1 fixtures
- AEK Athens – LASK (1–0)
- Club Brugge – Aston Villa (2–3)
- Borussia Dortmund – Villarreal (3–2)
- Porto – Manchester City (0–2)
- Lille – Real Betis (2–3)
- Real Madrid – Inter (2–1)
- Barcelona – Feyenoord (5–1)
- Stuttgart – Viking (3–1)
- Liverpool – Atlético de Madrid (2–1)
- Paris Saint-Germain – Slovan Bratislava (6–1)
- Sporting CP – Galatasaray (3–1)
- Napoli – Arsenal (0–1)
- PSV Eindhoven – Shakhtar Donetsk (1–1)
- Como – Leipzig (4–1)
- Bayern München – Bodø/Glimt (5–0)
- Manchester United – Sabah (4–0)
- Slavia Praha – Lens (2–3)