Roma vs Real Madrid: what's at stake in the Champions League?
← Champions League: full table and chances
Matchday 2 · Wednesday 14 October, 21:00
Roma17th, 1 pts
–Matchday 2
Real Madrid13th, 3 pts
22%Roma win
24%Draw
53%Real Madrid win
The model gives Roma a 22% chance of winning, a draw 24% and Real Madrid 53%. Roma's chance of going through is 73% now: a win would take it to 91%, a defeat to 65%. Real Madrid's top-8 chance is 81% now: a win would take it to 91%, a defeat to 62%. The most likely score is 0–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Roma: top 8 | Roma: through | Real Madrid: top 8 | Real Madrid: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 8% | 73% | 81% | >99% |
| Roma win | 20% | 91% | 62% | 99% |
| Draw | 7% | 77% | 76% | >99% |
| Real Madrid win | 3% | 65% | 91% | 100% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
0–112%
1–112%
0–210%
1–210%
0–07%
1–07%
Other matchday 2 fixtures
- Lens – Sporting CP
- Sabah – Slavia Praha
- Arsenal – Lille
- Atlético de Madrid – Manchester United
- Inter – Club Brugge
- Galatasaray – Barcelona
- Leipzig – PSV Eindhoven
- Viking – Bayern München
- Villarreal – Napoli
- Feyenoord – Como
- LASK – Liverpool
- Aston Villa – Fenerbahçe
- Shakhtar Donetsk – AEK Athens
- Bodø/Glimt – Borussia Dortmund
- Manchester City – Paris Saint-Germain
- Real Betis – Porto
- Slovan Bratislava – Stuttgart