Champions League matchday 6: what every team needs
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Updated 28 September 2026, 2026/27 league phase
Champions League matchday 6 is played on 8 December across 18 fixtures. The most is at stake for AEK Athens: a win would lift their chances of going through to 68%, a defeat would drop them to 27%.
Matchday 6 fixtures
Model probabilities for each fixture: home win, draw, away win.
- Tue 8 Dec, 18:45 Viking – Feyenoord 27% · 26% · 48%
- Tue 8 Dec, 18:45 Villarreal – Sabah 80% · 13% · 7%
- Tue 8 Dec, 21:00 AEK Athens – Galatasaray 32% · 26% · 41%
- Tue 8 Dec, 21:00 Aston Villa – Paris Saint-Germain 24% · 25% · 51%
- Tue 8 Dec, 21:00 Barcelona – Manchester City 48% · 25% · 27%
- Tue 8 Dec, 21:00 Bayern München – Slavia Praha 85% · 10% · 4%
- Tue 8 Dec, 21:00 Manchester United – Leipzig 51% · 25% · 24%
- Tue 8 Dec, 21:00 Napoli – Club Brugge 58% · 23% · 19%
- Tue 8 Dec, 21:00 Roma – Sporting CP 41% · 26% · 32%
- Wed 9 Dec, 18:45 Real Betis – Como 43% · 26% · 31%
- Wed 9 Dec, 18:45 Slovan Bratislava – Shakhtar Donetsk 30% · 26% · 44%
- Wed 9 Dec, 21:00 Arsenal – Real Madrid 46% · 26% · 29%
- Wed 9 Dec, 21:00 Borussia Dortmund – Inter 35% · 26% · 39%
- Wed 9 Dec, 21:00 LASK – Fenerbahçe 25% · 25% · 50%
- Wed 9 Dec, 21:00 Lens – Bodø/Glimt 50% · 25% · 25%
- Wed 9 Dec, 21:00 Liverpool – Porto 69% · 19% · 12%
- Wed 9 Dec, 21:00 PSV Eindhoven – Atlético de Madrid 31% · 26% · 43%
- Wed 9 Dec, 21:00 Stuttgart – Lille 49% · 25% · 26%
Who has the most at stake
The teams whose chances of going through move most with this matchday's result.
| Team | Fixture | Now | If they win | If they lose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AEK Athens | AEK Athens – Galatasaray | 44% | 68% | 27% |
| Galatasaray | AEK Athens – Galatasaray | 41% | 61% | 23% |
| Villarreal | Villarreal – Sabah | 62% | 67% | 30% |
| Lille | Stuttgart – Lille | 45% | 69% | 32% |
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Slovan Bratislava – Shakhtar Donetsk | 45% | 62% | 26% |
Frequently asked questions
When is Champions League matchday 6 played?
On 8 December, across 18 fixtures.
Which team has the most at stake on matchday 6?
AEK Athens. A win lifts their chances of going through to 68%, a defeat drops them to 27% — a swing of about 41 percentage points.
What does the table look like before matchday 6?
Paris Saint-Germain lead with 3 points. The full table with every team's chances is on the Champions League page.
How many points are needed to qualify?
In the simulations 16 points usually secure the top 8, and 9 points are usually enough for 24th place or better.