Manchester City vs Sporting CP: what's at stake in the Champions League?
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Matchday 8 · Wednesday 27 January, 21:00
Manchester City8th, 3 pts
–Matchday 8
Sporting CP6th, 3 pts
63%Manchester City win
21%Draw
16%Sporting CP win
The model gives Manchester City a 63% chance of winning, a draw 21% and Sporting CP 16%. Manchester City's chance of going through is 98% now: a win would take it to >99%, a defeat to 94%. Sporting CP's chance of going through is 89% now: a win would take it to 98%, a defeat to 86%. The most likely score is 1–0 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Manchester City: top 8 | Manchester City: through | Sporting CP: top 8 | Sporting CP: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 54% | 98% | 21% | 89% |
| Manchester City win | 65% | >99% | 14% | 86% |
| Draw | 41% | 97% | 22% | 92% |
| Sporting CP win | 29% | 94% | 44% | 98% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–012%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
Other matchday 8 fixtures
- Arsenal – Sabah
- Roma – Lille
- Atlético de Madrid – Fenerbahçe
- Borussia Dortmund – AEK Athens
- Club Brugge – Bodø/Glimt
- Bayern München – Real Betis
- Barcelona – Como
- Shakhtar Donetsk – Real Madrid
- Feyenoord – Leipzig
- LASK – Porto
- Liverpool – Lens
- Paris Saint-Germain – Galatasaray
- PSV Eindhoven – Stuttgart
- Slavia Praha – Aston Villa
- Napoli – Viking
- Villarreal – Manchester United
- Slovan Bratislava – Inter