What does Sporting CP need to go through in the Champions League?
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Updated 21 October 2026, 2026/27 league phase
After matchday 3, Sporting CP are 12th with 6 points. Next match: 3 November, away against Shakhtar Donetsk. In our simulations Sporting CP go through (24th place or better) in 90% of cases and make the top 8 in 13%. 9 points are usually enough (a team on that total goes through in more than half of the simulations), and 10 points make it almost certain. The biggest matches are against Shakhtar Donetsk (matchday 4) and Manchester United (matchday 5): each result moves the chances by about 21 percentage points.
30,000 simulations. Most likely finish: 14th, average 15.8.
Sporting CP matches
Times in your time zone. Under each match you can see how its result changes the chance of going through. Enter your own prediction and every number on the page updates.
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Matchday 1Wednesday 9 September, 21:00Win 52%, draw 25%, defeat 24%Chance of going through:Played
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Matchday 2Tuesday 13 October, 18:45Win 41%, draw 26%, defeat 33%Chance of going through:Played
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Matchday 3Wednesday 21 October, 21:00Win 73%, draw 17%, defeat 10%Chance of going through:Played
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Matchday 4Tuesday 3 November, 18:45Win 47%, draw 26%, defeat 28%Chance of going through:If they win99%If they draw88%If they lose78%
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Matchday 5Wednesday 25 November, 21:00Win 46%, draw 26%, defeat 28%Chance of going through:If they win99%If they draw88%If they lose78%
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Matchday 6Tuesday 8 December, 21:00Win 32%, draw 26%, defeat 41%Chance of going through:If they win99%If they draw91%If they lose82%
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Matchday 7Wednesday 20 January, 21:00Win 24%, draw 25%, defeat 51%Chance of going through:If they win99%If they draw93%If they lose85%
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Matchday 8Wednesday 27 January, 21:00Win 17%, draw 22%, defeat 61%Chance of going through:If they win99%If they draw94%If they lose86%
How many points are needed?
Chance of going through depending on how many points Sporting CP collect in the league phase.
Where could Sporting CP finish?
Final position chances across the simulations.
White: top 8, yellow: 9th–24th, grey: eliminated.
Champions League table
The current table. Click a team to open its page. On the right: chance of going through. The solid line after 8th means a direct place in the round of 16, the dashed line after 24th is the elimination line.
- 1Paris Saint-Germain9100%
- 2Aston Villa9100%
- 3Liverpool9100%
- 4Real Madrid9100%
- 5Real Betis999%
- 6Stuttgart797%
- 7Arsenal7100%
- 8Barcelona6>99%
- 9Como691%
- 10Manchester City699%
- 11Club Brugge687%
- 12Sporting CP690%
- 13Borussia Dortmund695%
- 14Bayern München5>99%
- 15Roma477%
- 16Atlético de Madrid496%
- 17Shakhtar Donetsk462%
- 18PSV Eindhoven477%
- 19Villarreal382%
- 20Inter389%
- 21Manchester United360%
- 22Napoli389%
- 23Galatasaray355%
- 24LASK331%
- 25Sabah34%
- 26Feyenoord357%
- 27Lens338%
- 28Bodø/Glimt359%
- 29AEK Athens319%
- 30Leipzig364%
- 31Fenerbahçe230%
- 32Slavia Praha14%
- 33Viking19%
- 34Porto027%
- 35Lille014%
- 36Slovan Bratislava03%
How the league phase works
The Champions League league phase has 36 teams in a single table. Each team plays 8 matches against different opponents, half at home and half away. The top eight go straight into the round of 16. Teams finishing 9th to 24th play a two-legged knockout play-off in February for a place in the round of 16, while 25th to 36th are eliminated.
If teams finish level on points, the order is decided by goal difference, then goals scored, away goals scored, wins, away wins and finally the combined record of their opponents.
Frequently asked questions
What are Sporting CP's chances of going through in the Champions League?
Across 30,000 simulations Sporting CP go through (24th place or better) in 90% of cases and reach the top 8 in 13%. The numbers are recalculated after every matchday.
How many points do Sporting CP need to qualify?
9 points are usually enough: a team on that total goes through in more than half of the simulations. 10 points make it almost certain.
When is Sporting CP's next match?
3 November, away against Shakhtar Donetsk on matchday 4 of the Champions League.
Which match matters most for Sporting CP?
The matchday 4 game away against Shakhtar Donetsk. Winning or losing it moves their chances of going through by about 21 percentage points.
What happens to teams finishing 9th to 24th in the Champions League?
They play a two-legged knockout play-off in February for a place in the round of 16. The top eight go straight through, while 25th to 36th are eliminated.