Sporting CP 3–1 Galatasaray
← Champions League: full table and chances
Matchday 1 · Wednesday 9 September, 21:00
Sporting CP beat Galatasaray 3–1 at home on matchday 1. After the match, Sporting CP are 12th with 6 points, with a 90% chance of going through (top 8: 13%). Galatasaray are now 23rd with 3 points, with a 55% chance of going through (top 8: 1%).
Before kick-off
What the model expected, based on team ratings before matchday 1.
The outcome the model rated most likely (50%). The model's most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the actual score had a 5% chance. Expected goals before the match: Sporting CP 1.6, Galatasaray 1.1.
Chances before and now
Before matchday 1 compared with now, after all results so far (including later matchdays).
| Team | Through (top 24) | Top 8 |
|---|---|---|
| Sporting CP | 77% → 90% | 15% → 13% |
| Galatasaray | 55% → 55% | 5% → 1% |
Form and fixtures
Both teams' Champions League matches: results so far and what is still to come.
Sporting CP
- MD1WGalatasaray H this match3–1
- MD2WLens A2–0
- MD3LLASK H2–3
- MD4Shakhtar Donetsk A3 November
- MD5Manchester United H25 November
- MD6Roma A8 December
- MD7Barcelona H20 January
- MD8Manchester City A27 January
Galatasaray
- MD1LSporting CP A this match1–3
- MD2LBarcelona H1–4
- MD3WLille A4–2
- MD4Stuttgart H3 November
- MD5Aston Villa H24 November
- MD6AEK Athens A8 December
- MD7Feyenoord H19 January
- MD8Paris Saint-Germain A27 January
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Sporting CP vs Galatasaray?
The match finished 3–1 (Champions League, matchday 1).
Was Sporting Lisbon vs Galatasaray a surprise?
Before kick-off the model gave Sporting CP a 50% chance of winning, a draw 25% and Galatasaray 25%. The outcome the model rated most likely (50%). The model's most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the actual score had a 5% chance.
How did the result change Sporting CP's chances?
Before matchday 1, Sporting CP had a 77% chance of going through (top 8: 15%). Now it is 90% (top 8: 13%).
How did the result change Galatasaray's chances?
Before matchday 1, Galatasaray had a 55% chance of going through (top 8: 5%). Now it is 55% (top 8: 1%).
When was Sporting CP vs Galatasaray played?
Wednesday 9 September, 21:00 (Champions League, matchday 1).
Big matches coming up
For each match: win probabilities and what every result means for both teams' chances of going through.
Other matchday 1 fixtures
- AEK Athens – LASK (1–0)
- Club Brugge – Aston Villa (2–3)
- Borussia Dortmund – Villarreal (3–2)
- Porto – Manchester City (0–2)
- Lille – Real Betis (2–3)
- Real Madrid – Inter (2–1)
- Barcelona – Feyenoord (5–1)
- Stuttgart – Viking (3–1)
- Liverpool – Atlético de Madrid (2–1)
- Paris Saint-Germain – Slovan Bratislava (6–1)
- Napoli – Arsenal (0–1)
- Fenerbahçe – Roma (1–1)
- PSV Eindhoven – Shakhtar Donetsk (1–1)
- Como – Leipzig (4–1)
- Bayern München – Bodø/Glimt (5–0)
- Manchester United – Sabah (4–0)
- Slavia Praha – Lens (2–3)