Roma vs Lille: what's at stake in the Champions League?
← Champions League: full table and chances
Matchday 8 · Wednesday 27 January, 21:00
Roma17th, 1 pts
–Matchday 8
Lille24th, 0 pts
48%Roma win
25%Draw
26%Lille win
The model gives Roma a 48% chance of winning, a draw 25% and Lille 26%. Roma's chance of going through is 73% now: a win would take it to 87%, a defeat to 54%. Lille's chance of going through is 47% now: a win would take it to 72%, a defeat to 32%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Roma: top 8 | Roma: through | Lille: top 8 | Lille: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 8% | 73% | 2% | 47% |
| Roma win | 13% | 87% | <1% | 32% |
| Draw | 4% | 69% | 1% | 47% |
| Lille win | 2% | 54% | 5% | 72% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–07%
Other matchday 8 fixtures
- Arsenal – Sabah
- Atlético de Madrid – Fenerbahçe
- Borussia Dortmund – AEK Athens
- Club Brugge – Bodø/Glimt
- Bayern München – Real Betis
- Barcelona – Como
- Shakhtar Donetsk – Real Madrid
- Feyenoord – Leipzig
- LASK – Porto
- Liverpool – Lens
- Manchester City – Sporting CP
- Paris Saint-Germain – Galatasaray
- PSV Eindhoven – Stuttgart
- Slavia Praha – Aston Villa
- Napoli – Viking
- Villarreal – Manchester United
- Slovan Bratislava – Inter