Roma vs Slovan Bratislava: what's at stake in the Champions League?
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Matchday 3 · Tuesday 20 October, 21:00
Roma17th, 1 pts
–Matchday 3
Slovan Bratislava35th, 0 pts
73%Roma win
17%Draw
10%Slovan Bratislava win
The model gives Roma a 73% chance of winning, a draw 17% and Slovan Bratislava 10%. Roma's chance of going through is 73% now: a win would take it to 81%, a defeat to 45%. Slovan Bratislava's chance of going through is 11% now: a win would take it to 33%, a defeat to 8%. The most likely score is 2–0 (13%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Roma: top 8 | Roma: through | Slovan Bratislava: top 8 | Slovan Bratislava: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 8% | 73% | <1% | 11% |
| Roma win | 10% | 81% | <1% | 8% |
| Draw | 3% | 59% | <1% | 15% |
| Slovan Bratislava win | 1% | 45% | 1% | 33% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
2–013%
1–011%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
Other matchday 3 fixtures
- Fenerbahçe – Slavia Praha
- Sabah – Borussia Dortmund
- Porto – PSV Eindhoven
- Liverpool – Villarreal
- Manchester City – AEK Athens
- Paris Saint-Germain – Barcelona
- Napoli – Bodø/Glimt
- Stuttgart – Atlético de Madrid
- Como – Manchester United
- Lille – Galatasaray
- Aston Villa – Viking
- Club Brugge – Lens
- Bayern München – Arsenal
- Inter – Shakhtar Donetsk
- Real Madrid – Leipzig
- Real Betis – Feyenoord
- Sporting CP – LASK