Knockout Math
Live
EN

Roma 4–0 Slovan Bratislava

← Champions League: full table and chances

Matchday 3 · Tuesday 20 October, 21:00

Roma15th, 4 pts
4–0Final score

Roma beat Slovan Bratislava 4–0 at home on matchday 3. After the match, Roma are 15th with 4 points, with a 77% chance of going through (top 8: 5%). Slovan Bratislava are now 36th with 0 points, with a 3% chance of going through (top 8: 0%).

Before kick-off

What the model expected, based on team ratings before matchday 3.

74%Roma win
17%Draw
10%Slovan Bratislava win

The outcome the model rated most likely (74%). The model's most likely score was 2–0 (13%); the actual score had a 6% chance. Expected goals before the match: Roma 2.3, Slovan Bratislava 0.7.

Chances before and now

Before matchday 3 compared with now, after all results so far.

TeamPositionThrough (top 24)Top 8
Roma25th → 15th65% → 77%3% → 5%
Slovan Bratislava36th → 36th5% → 3%<1% → 0%

Form and fixtures

Both teams' Champions League matches: results so far and what is still to come.

Roma

4 points from 3 matches, goal difference +3

  1. MD1DFenerbahçe A1–1
  2. MD2LReal Madrid H3–4
  3. MD3WSlovan Bratislava H this match4–0
  4. MD4Manchester United A3 November
  5. MD5Paris Saint-Germain A25 November
  6. MD6Sporting CP H8 December
  7. MD7AEK Athens A19 January
  8. MD8Lille H27 January

Slovan Bratislava

0 points from 3 matches, goal difference -12

  1. MD1LParis Saint-Germain A1–6
  2. MD2LStuttgart H0–3
  3. MD3LRoma A this match0–4
  4. MD4LASK A3 November
  5. MD5Real Betis H24 November
  6. MD6Shakhtar Donetsk H9 December
  7. MD7Lille A19 January
  8. MD8Inter H27 January

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Roma vs Slovan Bratislava?

The match finished 4–0 (Champions League, matchday 3).

Was Roma vs Slovan Bratislava a surprise?

Before kick-off the model gave Roma a 74% chance of winning, a draw 17% and Slovan Bratislava 10%. The outcome the model rated most likely (74%). The model's most likely score was 2–0 (13%); the actual score had a 6% chance.

How did the result change Roma's chances?

Before matchday 3, Roma had a 65% chance of going through (top 8: 3%). Now it is 77% (top 8: 5%).

How did the result change Slovan Bratislava's chances?

Before matchday 3, Slovan Bratislava had a 5% chance of going through (top 8: <1%). Now it is 3% (top 8: 0%).

When was Roma vs Slovan Bratislava played?

Tuesday 20 October, 21:00 (Champions League, matchday 3).

Big matches coming up

For each match: win probabilities and what every result means for both teams' chances of going through.

Other matchday 3 fixtures

Full matchday 3: what every team needs →