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Lens 0–2 Sporting CP

← Champions League: full table and chances

Matchday 2 · Tuesday 13 October, 18:45

Lens27th, 3 pts
0–2Final score
Sporting CP12th, 6 pts

Sporting CP won 2–0 away at Lens on matchday 2. After the match, Lens are 27th with 3 points, with a 38% chance of going through (top 8: <1%). Sporting CP are now 12th with 6 points, with a 90% chance of going through (top 8: 13%).

Before kick-off

What the model expected, based on team ratings before matchday 2.

37%Lens win
26%Draw
37%Sporting CP win

Not the most likely outcome, but no big surprise either: the model gave it 37%. The model's most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the actual score had a 6% chance. Expected goals before the match: Lens 1.3, Sporting CP 1.3.

Chances before and now

Before matchday 2 compared with now, after all results so far (including later matchdays).

TeamPositionThrough (top 24)Top 8
Lens10th → 27th78% → 38%10% → <1%
Sporting CP6th → 12th90% → 90%22% → 13%

Form and fixtures

Both teams' Champions League matches: results so far and what is still to come.

Lens

3 points from 3 matches, goal difference -4

  1. MD1WSlavia Praha A3–2
  2. MD2LSporting CP H this match0–2
  3. MD3LClub Brugge A0–3
  4. MD4Como H4 November
  5. MD5Leipzig A24 November
  6. MD6Bodø/Glimt H9 December
  7. MD7Manchester City H20 January
  8. MD8Liverpool A27 January

Sporting CP

6 points from 3 matches, goal difference +3

  1. MD1WGalatasaray H3–1
  2. MD2WLens A this match2–0
  3. MD3LLASK H2–3
  4. MD4Shakhtar Donetsk A3 November
  5. MD5Manchester United H25 November
  6. MD6Roma A8 December
  7. MD7Barcelona H20 January
  8. MD8Manchester City A27 January

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Lens vs Sporting CP?

The match finished 0–2 (Champions League, matchday 2).

Was Lens vs Sporting Lisbon a surprise?

Before kick-off the model gave Lens a 37% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Sporting CP 37%. Not the most likely outcome, but no big surprise either: the model gave it 37%. The model's most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the actual score had a 6% chance.

How did the result change Lens's chances?

Before matchday 2, Lens had a 78% chance of going through (top 8: 10%). Now it is 38% (top 8: <1%).

How did the result change Sporting CP's chances?

Before matchday 2, Sporting CP had a 90% chance of going through (top 8: 22%). Now it is 90% (top 8: 13%).

When was Lens vs Sporting CP played?

Tuesday 13 October, 18:45 (Champions League, matchday 2).

Big matches coming up

For each match: win probabilities and what every result means for both teams' chances of going through.

Other matchday 2 fixtures

Full matchday 2: what every team needs →