Paris Saint-Germain vs Roma: what's at stake in the Champions League?
← Champions League: full table and chances
Matchday 5 · Wednesday 25 November, 21:00
Paris Saint-Germain1st, 3 pts
–Matchday 5
Roma17th, 1 pts
73%Paris Saint-Germain win
17%Draw
10%Roma win
The model gives Paris Saint-Germain a 73% chance of winning, a draw 17% and Roma 10%. Paris Saint-Germain's chance of going through is 99% now: a win would take it to >99%, a defeat to 98%. Roma's chance of going through is 73% now: a win would take it to 93%, a defeat to 69%. The most likely score is 2–0 (13%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Paris Saint-Germain: top 8 | Paris Saint-Germain: through | Roma: top 8 | Roma: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 74% | 99% | 8% | 73% |
| Paris Saint-Germain win | 80% | >99% | 5% | 69% |
| Draw | 60% | 99% | 10% | 80% |
| Roma win | 48% | 98% | 25% | 93% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
2–013%
1–011%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
Other matchday 5 fixtures
- Bodø/Glimt – LASK
- Galatasaray – Aston Villa
- Arsenal – Borussia Dortmund
- Como – AEK Athens
- Feyenoord – Porto
- Manchester City – Napoli
- Leipzig – Lens
- Real Madrid – PSV Eindhoven
- Slovan Bratislava – Real Betis
- Sabah – Barcelona
- Slavia Praha – Villarreal
- Atlético de Madrid – Viking
- Club Brugge – Liverpool
- Inter – Stuttgart
- Shakhtar Donetsk – Fenerbahçe
- Lille – Bayern München
- Sporting CP – Manchester United