Slovan Bratislava vs Shakhtar Donetsk: what's at stake in the Champions League?
← Champions League: full table and chances
Matchday 6 · Wednesday 9 December, 18:45
Slovan Bratislava35th, 0 pts
–Matchday 6
Shakhtar Donetsk18th, 1 pts
31%Slovan Bratislava win
26%Draw
43%Shakhtar Donetsk win
The model gives Slovan Bratislava a 31% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Shakhtar Donetsk 43%. Slovan Bratislava's chance of going through is 11% now: a win would take it to 24%, a defeat to 5%. Shakhtar Donetsk's chance of going through is 44% now: a win would take it to 62%, a defeat to 25%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Slovan Bratislava: top 8 | Slovan Bratislava: through | Shakhtar Donetsk: top 8 | Shakhtar Donetsk: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 11% | 2% | 44% |
| Slovan Bratislava win | <1% | 24% | <1% | 25% |
| Draw | 0% | 8% | 1% | 37% |
| Shakhtar Donetsk win | <1% | 5% | 3% | 62% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
1–09%
0–28%
0–07%
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- Bayern München – Slavia Praha
- Manchester United – Leipzig
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- Real Betis – Como
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