Knockout Math
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Real Betis vs Como: what's at stake in the Champions League?

← Champions League: full table and chances

Matchday 6 · Wednesday 9 December, 18:45

Real Betis9th, 3 pts
–Matchday 6
Como5th, 3 pts
44%Real Betis win
26%Draw
30%Como win

The model gives Real Betis a 44% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Como 30%. Real Betis's chance of going through is 82% now: a win would take it to 93%, a defeat to 67%. Como's chance of going through is 78% now: a win would take it to 93%, a defeat to 66%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).

What each result means

Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.

Real Betis: top 8Real Betis: throughComo: top 8Como: through
Now12%82%10%78%
Real Betis win21%93%4%66%
Draw8%79%8%78%
Como win4%67%21%93%

Most likely scores

The most likely exact scores according to the model.

1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–07%

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