AEK Athens vs Roma: what's at stake in the Champions League?
← Champions League: full table and chances
Matchday 7 · Tuesday 19 January, 21:00
AEK Athens16th, 3 pts
–Matchday 7
Roma17th, 1 pts
27%AEK Athens win
25%Draw
48%Roma win
The model gives AEK Athens a 27% chance of winning, a draw 25% and Roma 48%. AEK Athens's chance of going through is 42% now: a win would take it to 69%, a defeat to 28%. Roma's chance of going through is 73% now: a win would take it to 87%, a defeat to 54%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| AEK Athens: top 8 | AEK Athens: through | Roma: top 8 | Roma: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 2% | 42% | 8% | 73% |
| AEK Athens win | 4% | 69% | 2% | 54% |
| Draw | 1% | 40% | 4% | 68% |
| Roma win | <1% | 28% | 13% | 87% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–07%
Other matchday 7 fixtures
- Bodø/Glimt – Atlético de Madrid
- Galatasaray – Feyenoord
- Aston Villa – Borussia Dortmund
- Inter – Liverpool
- Porto – Slavia Praha
- Lille – Slovan Bratislava
- Real Madrid – LASK
- Stuttgart – Club Brugge
- Fenerbahçe – Villarreal
- Sabah – Napoli
- Como – Paris Saint-Germain
- Manchester United – Bayern München
- Leipzig – Shakhtar Donetsk
- Lens – Manchester City
- Real Betis – Arsenal
- Sporting CP – Barcelona
- Viking – PSV Eindhoven