Villarreal vs Sabah: what's at stake in the Champions League?
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Matchday 6 · Tuesday 8 December, 18:45
Villarreal21st, 0 pts
–Matchday 6
Sabah34th, 0 pts
80%Villarreal win
13%Draw
7%Sabah win
The model gives Villarreal a 80% chance of winning, a draw 13% and Sabah 7%. Villarreal's chance of going through is 63% now: a win would take it to 69%, a defeat to 31%. Sabah's chance of going through is 2% now: a win would take it to 10%, a defeat to 1%. The most likely score is 2–0 (13%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Villarreal: top 8 | Villarreal: through | Sabah: top 8 | Sabah: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 5% | 63% | <1% | 2% |
| Villarreal win | 6% | 69% | 0% | 1% |
| Draw | 1% | 44% | 0% | 3% |
| Sabah win | <1% | 31% | <1% | 10% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
2–013%
3–012%
1–010%
2–18%
4–08%
3–17%
Other matchday 6 fixtures
- Viking – Feyenoord
- AEK Athens – Galatasaray
- Roma – Sporting CP
- Aston Villa – Paris Saint-Germain
- Barcelona – Manchester City
- Bayern München – Slavia Praha
- Manchester United – Leipzig
- Napoli – Club Brugge
- Real Betis – Como
- Slovan Bratislava – Shakhtar Donetsk
- Arsenal – Real Madrid
- Borussia Dortmund – Inter
- LASK – Fenerbahçe
- Liverpool – Porto
- Lens – Bodø/Glimt
- PSV Eindhoven – Atlético de Madrid
- Stuttgart – Lille