PSV Eindhoven vs Club Brugge: what's at stake in the Champions League?
← Champions League: full table and chances
Matchday 4 · Wednesday 4 November, 21:00
PSV Eindhoven20th, 1 pts
–Matchday 4
Club Brugge23rd, 0 pts
48%PSV Eindhoven win
25%Draw
26%Club Brugge win
The model gives PSV Eindhoven a 48% chance of winning, a draw 25% and Club Brugge 26%. PSV Eindhoven's chance of going through is 66% now: a win would take it to 81%, a defeat to 46%. Club Brugge's chance of going through is 36% now: a win would take it to 60%, a defeat to 23%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| PSV Eindhoven: top 8 | PSV Eindhoven: through | Club Brugge: top 8 | Club Brugge: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 6% | 66% | 1% | 36% |
| PSV Eindhoven win | 10% | 81% | <1% | 23% |
| Draw | 3% | 60% | 1% | 35% |
| Club Brugge win | 1% | 46% | 3% | 60% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–07%
Other matchday 4 fixtures
- Shakhtar Donetsk – Sporting CP
- Galatasaray – Stuttgart
- Atlético de Madrid – Bayern München
- Barcelona – Aston Villa
- Feyenoord – Inter
- Bodø/Glimt – Lille
- LASK – Slovan Bratislava
- Manchester United – Roma
- Villarreal – Paris Saint-Germain
- AEK Athens – Real Madrid
- Fenerbahçe – Liverpool
- Borussia Dortmund – Real Betis
- Porto – Napoli
- Leipzig – Manchester City
- Lens – Como
- Slavia Praha – Arsenal
- Viking – Sabah