Knockout Math
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Viking vs PSV Eindhoven: what's at stake in the Champions League?

← Champions League: full table and chances

Matchday 7 · Wednesday 20 January, 21:00

Viking30th, 0 pts
–Matchday 7
PSV Eindhoven20th, 1 pts
21%Viking win
24%Draw
55%PSV Eindhoven win

The model gives Viking a 21% chance of winning, a draw 24% and PSV Eindhoven 55%. Viking's chance of going through is 10% now: a win would take it to 26%, a defeat to 4%. PSV Eindhoven's chance of going through is 66% now: a win would take it to 79%, a defeat to 44%. The most likely score is 0–1 (12%).

What each result means

Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.

Viking: top 8Viking: throughPSV Eindhoven: top 8PSV Eindhoven: through
Now<1%10%6%66%
Viking win<1%26%1%44%
Draw<1%8%3%57%
PSV Eindhoven win<1%4%10%79%

Most likely scores

The most likely exact scores according to the model.

0–112%
1–111%
0–210%
1–210%
0–07%
1–07%

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