Bodø/Glimt vs Lille: what's at stake in the Champions League?
← Champions League: full table and chances
Matchday 4 · Tuesday 3 November, 21:00
Bodø/Glimt36th, 0 pts
–Matchday 4
Lille24th, 0 pts
38%Bodø/Glimt win
26%Draw
35%Lille win
The model gives Bodø/Glimt a 38% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Lille 35%. Bodø/Glimt's chance of going through is 41% now: a win would take it to 61%, a defeat to 24%. Lille's chance of going through is 47% now: a win would take it to 69%, a defeat to 30%. The most likely score is 1–1 (13%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Bodø/Glimt: top 8 | Bodø/Glimt: through | Lille: top 8 | Lille: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 2% | 41% | 2% | 47% |
| Bodø/Glimt win | 4% | 61% | <1% | 30% |
| Draw | 1% | 35% | 1% | 41% |
| Lille win | <1% | 24% | 4% | 69% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–08%
Other matchday 4 fixtures
- Shakhtar Donetsk – Sporting CP
- Galatasaray – Stuttgart
- Atlético de Madrid – Bayern München
- Barcelona – Aston Villa
- Feyenoord – Inter
- LASK – Slovan Bratislava
- Manchester United – Roma
- Villarreal – Paris Saint-Germain
- AEK Athens – Real Madrid
- Fenerbahçe – Liverpool
- Borussia Dortmund – Real Betis
- Porto – Napoli
- PSV Eindhoven – Club Brugge
- Leipzig – Manchester City
- Lens – Como
- Slavia Praha – Arsenal
- Viking – Sabah