Galatasaray vs Stuttgart: what's at stake in the Champions League?
← Champions League: full table and chances
Matchday 4 · Tuesday 3 November, 18:45
Galatasaray29th, 0 pts
–Matchday 4
Stuttgart7th, 3 pts
41%Galatasaray win
26%Draw
33%Stuttgart win
The model gives Galatasaray a 41% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Stuttgart 33%. Galatasaray's chance of going through is 44% now: a win would take it to 62%, a defeat to 26%. Stuttgart's chance of going through is 88% now: a win would take it to 97%, a defeat to 80%. The most likely score is 1–1 (13%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Galatasaray: top 8 | Galatasaray: through | Stuttgart: top 8 | Stuttgart: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 2% | 44% | 20% | 88% |
| Galatasaray win | 4% | 62% | 10% | 80% |
| Draw | 1% | 39% | 18% | 88% |
| Stuttgart win | <1% | 26% | 36% | 97% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–08%
Other matchday 4 fixtures
- Shakhtar Donetsk – Sporting CP
- Atlético de Madrid – Bayern München
- Barcelona – Aston Villa
- Feyenoord – Inter
- Bodø/Glimt – Lille
- LASK – Slovan Bratislava
- Manchester United – Roma
- Villarreal – Paris Saint-Germain
- AEK Athens – Real Madrid
- Fenerbahçe – Liverpool
- Borussia Dortmund – Real Betis
- Porto – Napoli
- PSV Eindhoven – Club Brugge
- Leipzig – Manchester City
- Lens – Como
- Slavia Praha – Arsenal
- Viking – Sabah