Knockout Math
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Inter vs Club Brugge: what's at stake in the Champions League?

← Champions League: full table and chances

Matchday 2 · Tuesday 13 October, 21:00

Inter26th, 0 pts
–Matchday 2
Club Brugge23rd, 0 pts
67%Inter win
20%Draw
14%Club Brugge win

The model gives Inter a 67% chance of winning, a draw 20% and Club Brugge 14%. Inter's chance of going through is 95% now: a win would take it to 98%, a defeat to 86%. Club Brugge's chance of going through is 36% now: a win would take it to 64%, a defeat to 29%. The most likely score is 2–0 (12%).

What each result means

Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.

Inter: top 8Inter: throughClub Brugge: top 8Club Brugge: through
Now36%95%1%36%
Inter win45%98%<1%29%
Draw23%92%1%41%
Club Brugge win14%86%5%64%

Most likely scores

The most likely exact scores according to the model.

2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%

Other matchday 2 fixtures