Knockout Math
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Club Brugge vs Bodø/Glimt: what's at stake in the Champions League?

← Champions League: full table and chances

Matchday 8 · Wednesday 27 January, 21:00

Club Brugge23rd, 0 pts
–Matchday 8
Bodø/Glimt36th, 0 pts
48%Club Brugge win
25%Draw
26%Bodø/Glimt win

The model gives Club Brugge a 48% chance of winning, a draw 25% and Bodø/Glimt 26%. Club Brugge's chance of going through is 36% now: a win would take it to 51%, a defeat to 17%. Bodø/Glimt's chance of going through is 41% now: a win would take it to 65%, a defeat to 29%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).

What each result means

Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.

Club Brugge: top 8Club Brugge: throughBodø/Glimt: top 8Bodø/Glimt: through
Now1%36%2%41%
Club Brugge win2%51%<1%29%
Draw1%27%1%40%
Bodø/Glimt win<1%17%5%65%

Most likely scores

The most likely exact scores according to the model.

1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–07%

Other matchday 8 fixtures