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Club Brugge vs Bodø/Glimt: what's at stake in the Champions League?

← Champions League: full table and chances

Matchday 8 · Wednesday 27 January, 21:00

Club Brugge11th, 6 pts
–Matchday 8
Bodø/Glimt28th, 3 pts
51%Club Brugge win
25%Draw
24%Bodø/Glimt win

The model gives Club Brugge a 51% chance of winning, a draw 25% and Bodø/Glimt 24%. Club Brugge's chance of going through is 87% now: a win would take it to 98%, a defeat to 68%. Bodø/Glimt's chance of going through is 59% now: a win would take it to 84%, a defeat to 45%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).

What each result means

Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.

OutcomeClub Brugge: top 8Club Brugge: throughBodø/Glimt: top 8Bodø/Glimt: through
Now10%87%2%59%
Club Brugge win16%98%<1%45%
Draw5%82%1%60%
Bodø/Glimt win2%68%6%84%

Goals

From the model's expected goals for each side. Scores are drawn from a Poisson distribution, the standard model for football scores.

1.6 – 1.0Expected goals
52%Both teams score
49%3 or more goals
36%Club Brugge clean sheet
20%Bodø/Glimt clean sheet

Most likely scores

The most likely exact scores according to the model.

1–112%
1–011%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
0–07%

Form and fixtures

Both teams' Champions League matches: results so far and what is still to come.

Club Brugge

6 points from 3 matches, goal difference +3

  1. MD1LAston Villa H2–3
  2. MD2WInter A4–3
  3. MD3WLens H3–0
  4. MD4PSV Eindhoven A4 November
  5. MD5Liverpool H25 November
  6. MD6Napoli A8 December
  7. MD7Stuttgart A19 January
  8. MD8Bodø/Glimt H this match27 January

Bodø/Glimt

3 points from 3 matches, goal difference -5

  1. MD1LBayern München A0–5
  2. MD2WBorussia Dortmund H1–0
  3. MD3LNapoli A3–4
  4. MD4Lille H3 November
  5. MD5LASK H24 November
  6. MD6Lens A9 December
  7. MD7Atlético de Madrid H19 January
  8. MD8Club Brugge A this match27 January

Frequently asked questions

Who is favourite in Club Brugge vs Bodø/Glimt?

The model gives Club Brugge a 51% chance of winning and Bodø/Glimt 24%, with a draw at 25%.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely exact score is 1–1 (12%), followed by 1–0 (11%).

Will both teams score in Club Brugge vs Bodø/Glimt?

The model gives both teams scoring a 52% chance. Expected goals are 1.6 for Club Brugge and 1.0 for Bodø/Glimt, and the match has 3 or more goals in 49% of cases.

What does this match mean for Club Brugge?

Club Brugge's qualification chance is 87% right now. A win would make it 98%, a draw 82% and a defeat 68%.

What does this match mean for Bodø/Glimt?

Bodø/Glimt's qualification chance is 59% right now. A win would make it 84%, a draw 60% and a defeat 45%.

When is Club Brugge vs Bodø/Glimt played?

Wednesday 27 January, 21:00 (Champions League, matchday 8).

Big matches coming up

For each match: win probabilities and what every result means for both teams' chances of going through.

Other matchday 8 fixtures

Full matchday 8: what every team needs →