Club Brugge vs Liverpool: what's at stake in the Champions League?
← Champions League: full table and chances
Matchday 5 · Wednesday 25 November, 21:00
Club Brugge23rd, 0 pts
–Matchday 5
Liverpool14th, 3 pts
19%Club Brugge win
23%Draw
58%Liverpool win
The model gives Club Brugge a 19% chance of winning, a draw 23% and Liverpool 58%. Club Brugge's chance of going through is 36% now: a win would take it to 62%, a defeat to 27%. Liverpool's top-8 chance is 77% now: a win would take it to 86%, a defeat to 58%. The most likely score is 0–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Club Brugge: top 8 | Club Brugge: through | Liverpool: top 8 | Liverpool: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 1% | 36% | 77% | >99% |
| Club Brugge win | 4% | 62% | 58% | 99% |
| Draw | 1% | 38% | 69% | >99% |
| Liverpool win | <1% | 27% | 86% | >99% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
0–112%
1–111%
0–211%
1–210%
0–07%
0–36%
Other matchday 5 fixtures
- Bodø/Glimt – LASK
- Galatasaray – Aston Villa
- Arsenal – Borussia Dortmund
- Como – AEK Athens
- Feyenoord – Porto
- Manchester City – Napoli
- Leipzig – Lens
- Real Madrid – PSV Eindhoven
- Slovan Bratislava – Real Betis
- Sabah – Barcelona
- Slavia Praha – Villarreal
- Atlético de Madrid – Viking
- Inter – Stuttgart
- Shakhtar Donetsk – Fenerbahçe
- Lille – Bayern München
- Paris Saint-Germain – Roma
- Sporting CP – Manchester United