What does PSV Eindhoven need to go through in the Champions League?
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Updated 21 October 2026, 2026/27 league phase
After matchday 3, PSV Eindhoven are 18th with 4 points. Next match: 4 November, at home against Club Brugge. In our simulations PSV Eindhoven go through (24th place or better) in 77% of cases and make the top 8 in 5%. 9 points are usually enough (a team on that total goes through in more than half of the simulations), and 10 points make it almost certain. The biggest matches are against Viking (matchday 7) and Club Brugge (matchday 4): each result moves the chances by about 37 percentage points.
30,000 simulations. Most likely finish: 19th, average 19.2.
PSV Eindhoven matches
Times in your time zone. Under each match you can see how its result changes the chance of going through. Enter your own prediction and every number on the page updates.
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Matchday 1Thursday 10 September, 18:45Win 58%, draw 23%, defeat 19%Chance of going through:Played
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Matchday 2Tuesday 13 October, 21:00Win 31%, draw 26%, defeat 43%Chance of going through:Played
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Matchday 3Tuesday 20 October, 21:00Win 32%, draw 26%, defeat 41%Chance of going through:Played
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Matchday 4Wednesday 4 November, 21:00Win 46%, draw 26%, defeat 28%Chance of going through:If they win92%If they draw73%If they lose57%
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Matchday 5Tuesday 24 November, 21:00Win 11%, draw 18%, defeat 71%Chance of going through:If they win96%If they draw85%If they lose72%
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Matchday 6Wednesday 9 December, 21:00Win 30%, draw 26%, defeat 44%Chance of going through:If they win94%If they draw78%If they lose65%
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Matchday 7Wednesday 20 January, 21:00Win 56%, draw 23%, defeat 20%Chance of going through:If they win89%If they draw69%If they lose53%
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Matchday 8Wednesday 27 January, 21:00Win 42%, draw 26%, defeat 32%Chance of going through:If they win92%If they draw75%If they lose59%
How many points are needed?
Chance of going through depending on how many points PSV Eindhoven collect in the league phase.
Where could PSV Eindhoven finish?
Final position chances across the simulations.
White: top 8, yellow: 9th–24th, grey: eliminated.
Champions League table
The current table. Click a team to open its page. On the right: chance of going through. The solid line after 8th means a direct place in the round of 16, the dashed line after 24th is the elimination line.
- 1Paris Saint-Germain9100%
- 2Aston Villa9100%
- 3Liverpool9100%
- 4Real Madrid9100%
- 5Real Betis999%
- 6Stuttgart797%
- 7Arsenal7100%
- 8Barcelona6>99%
- 9Como691%
- 10Manchester City699%
- 11Club Brugge687%
- 12Sporting CP690%
- 13Borussia Dortmund695%
- 14Bayern München5>99%
- 15Roma477%
- 16Atlético de Madrid496%
- 17Shakhtar Donetsk462%
- 18PSV Eindhoven477%
- 19Villarreal382%
- 20Inter389%
- 21Manchester United360%
- 22Napoli389%
- 23Galatasaray355%
- 24LASK331%
- 25Sabah34%
- 26Feyenoord357%
- 27Lens338%
- 28Bodø/Glimt359%
- 29AEK Athens319%
- 30Leipzig364%
- 31Fenerbahçe230%
- 32Slavia Praha14%
- 33Viking19%
- 34Porto027%
- 35Lille014%
- 36Slovan Bratislava03%
How the league phase works
The Champions League league phase has 36 teams in a single table. Each team plays 8 matches against different opponents, half at home and half away. The top eight go straight into the round of 16. Teams finishing 9th to 24th play a two-legged knockout play-off in February for a place in the round of 16, while 25th to 36th are eliminated.
If teams finish level on points, the order is decided by goal difference, then goals scored, away goals scored, wins, away wins and finally the combined record of their opponents.
Frequently asked questions
What are PSV Eindhoven's chances of going through in the Champions League?
Across 30,000 simulations PSV Eindhoven go through (24th place or better) in 77% of cases and reach the top 8 in 5%. The numbers are recalculated after every matchday.
How many points do PSV Eindhoven need to qualify?
9 points are usually enough: a team on that total goes through in more than half of the simulations. 10 points make it almost certain.
When is PSV Eindhoven's next match?
4 November, at home against Club Brugge on matchday 4 of the Champions League.
Which match matters most for PSV Eindhoven?
The matchday 7 game away against Viking. Winning or losing it moves their chances of going through by about 37 percentage points.
What happens to teams finishing 9th to 24th in the Champions League?
They play a two-legged knockout play-off in February for a place in the round of 16. The top eight go straight through, while 25th to 36th are eliminated.