Leipzig 1–0 PSV Eindhoven
← Champions League: full table and chances
Matchday 2 · Tuesday 13 October, 21:00
Leipzig beat PSV Eindhoven 1–0 at home on matchday 2. After the match, Leipzig are 30th with 3 points, with a 64% chance of going through (top 8: 3%). PSV Eindhoven are now 18th with 4 points, with a 77% chance of going through (top 8: 5%).
Before kick-off
What the model expected, based on team ratings before matchday 2.
The outcome the model rated most likely (43%). The model's most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the actual score had a 11% chance. Expected goals before the match: Leipzig 1.4, PSV Eindhoven 1.2.
Chances before and now
Before matchday 2 compared with now, after all results so far (including later matchdays).
| Team | Position | Through (top 24) | Top 8 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leipzig | 32nd → 30th | 51% → 64% | 2% → 3% |
| PSV Eindhoven | 20th → 18th | 69% → 77% | 7% → 5% |
Form and fixtures
Both teams' Champions League matches: results so far and what is still to come.
Leipzig
- MD1LComo A1–4
- MD2WPSV Eindhoven H this match1–0
- MD3LReal Madrid A1–4
- MD4Manchester City H4 November
- MD5Lens H24 November
- MD6Manchester United A8 December
- MD7Shakhtar Donetsk H20 January
- MD8Feyenoord A27 January
PSV Eindhoven
- MD1DShakhtar Donetsk H1–1
- MD2LLeipzig A this match0–1
- MD3WPorto A1–0
- MD4Club Brugge H4 November
- MD5Real Madrid A24 November
- MD6Atlético de Madrid H9 December
- MD7Viking A20 January
- MD8Stuttgart H27 January
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven?
The match finished 1–0 (Champions League, matchday 2).
Was RB Leipzig vs PSV a surprise?
Before kick-off the model gave Leipzig a 43% chance of winning, a draw 26% and PSV Eindhoven 31%. The outcome the model rated most likely (43%). The model's most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the actual score had a 11% chance.
How did the result change Leipzig's chances?
Before matchday 2, Leipzig had a 51% chance of going through (top 8: 2%). Now it is 64% (top 8: 3%).
How did the result change PSV Eindhoven's chances?
Before matchday 2, PSV Eindhoven had a 69% chance of going through (top 8: 7%). Now it is 77% (top 8: 5%).
When was Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven played?
Tuesday 13 October, 21:00 (Champions League, matchday 2).
Big matches coming up
For each match: win probabilities and what every result means for both teams' chances of going through.
Other matchday 2 fixtures
- Lens – Sporting CP (0–2)
- Sabah – Slavia Praha (2–0)
- Arsenal – Lille (3–0)
- Atlético de Madrid – Manchester United (2–0)
- Inter – Club Brugge (3–4)
- Galatasaray – Barcelona (1–4)
- Viking – Bayern München (3–3)
- Villarreal – Napoli (3–1)
- Feyenoord – Como (3–2)
- LASK – Liverpool (3–6)
- Roma – Real Madrid (3–4)
- Aston Villa – Fenerbahçe (6–0)
- Shakhtar Donetsk – AEK Athens (3–1)
- Bodø/Glimt – Borussia Dortmund (1–0)
- Manchester City – Paris Saint-Germain (2–4)
- Real Betis – Porto (3–2)
- Slovan Bratislava – Stuttgart (0–3)