PSV Eindhoven 1–1 Shakhtar Donetsk
← Champions League: full table and chances
Matchday 1 · Thursday 10 September, 18:45
PSV Eindhoven and Shakhtar Donetsk drew 1–1 on matchday 1. After the match, PSV Eindhoven are 18th with 4 points, with a 77% chance of going through (top 8: 5%). Shakhtar Donetsk are now 17th with 4 points, with a 62% chance of going through (top 8: 2%).
Before kick-off
What the model expected, based on team ratings before matchday 1.
An upset: the model gave this result only 23%. The model's most likely score was 1–0 (12%); the actual score had a 11% chance. Expected goals before the match: PSV Eindhoven 1.8, Shakhtar Donetsk 0.9.
Chances before and now
Before matchday 1 compared with now, after all results so far (including later matchdays).
| Team | Through (top 24) | Top 8 |
|---|---|---|
| PSV Eindhoven | 74% → 77% | 13% → 5% |
| Shakhtar Donetsk | 40% → 62% | 2% → 2% |
Form and fixtures
Both teams' Champions League matches: results so far and what is still to come.
PSV Eindhoven
- MD1DShakhtar Donetsk H this match1–1
- MD2LLeipzig A0–1
- MD3WPorto A1–0
- MD4Club Brugge H4 November
- MD5Real Madrid A24 November
- MD6Atlético de Madrid H9 December
- MD7Viking A20 January
- MD8Stuttgart H27 January
Shakhtar Donetsk
- MD1DPSV Eindhoven A this match1–1
- MD2WAEK Athens H3–1
- MD3LInter A0–1
- MD4Sporting CP H3 November
- MD5Fenerbahçe H25 November
- MD6Slovan Bratislava A9 December
- MD7Leipzig A20 January
- MD8Real Madrid H27 January
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of PSV Eindhoven vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
The match finished 1–1 (Champions League, matchday 1).
Was PSV vs Shakhtar Donetsk a surprise?
Before kick-off the model gave PSV Eindhoven a 58% chance of winning, a draw 23% and Shakhtar Donetsk 19%. An upset: the model gave this result only 23%. The model's most likely score was 1–0 (12%); the actual score had a 11% chance.
How did the result change PSV Eindhoven's chances?
Before matchday 1, PSV Eindhoven had a 74% chance of going through (top 8: 13%). Now it is 77% (top 8: 5%).
How did the result change Shakhtar Donetsk's chances?
Before matchday 1, Shakhtar Donetsk had a 40% chance of going through (top 8: 2%). Now it is 62% (top 8: 2%).
When was PSV Eindhoven vs Shakhtar Donetsk played?
Thursday 10 September, 18:45 (Champions League, matchday 1).
Big matches coming up
For each match: win probabilities and what every result means for both teams' chances of going through.
Other matchday 1 fixtures
- AEK Athens – LASK (1–0)
- Club Brugge – Aston Villa (2–3)
- Borussia Dortmund – Villarreal (3–2)
- Porto – Manchester City (0–2)
- Lille – Real Betis (2–3)
- Real Madrid – Inter (2–1)
- Barcelona – Feyenoord (5–1)
- Stuttgart – Viking (3–1)
- Liverpool – Atlético de Madrid (2–1)
- Paris Saint-Germain – Slovan Bratislava (6–1)
- Sporting CP – Galatasaray (3–1)
- Napoli – Arsenal (0–1)
- Fenerbahçe – Roma (1–1)
- Como – Leipzig (4–1)
- Bayern München – Bodø/Glimt (5–0)
- Manchester United – Sabah (4–0)
- Slavia Praha – Lens (2–3)