Porto 0–1 PSV Eindhoven
← Champions League: full table and chances
Matchday 3 · Tuesday 20 October, 21:00
PSV Eindhoven won 1–0 away at Porto on matchday 3. After the match, Porto are 34th with 0 points, with a 27% chance of going through (top 8: <1%). PSV Eindhoven are now 18th with 4 points, with a 77% chance of going through (top 8: 5%).
Before kick-off
What the model expected, based on team ratings before matchday 3.
Not the most likely outcome, but no big surprise either: the model gave it 30%. The model's most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the actual score had a 9% chance. Expected goals before the match: Porto 1.4, PSV Eindhoven 1.2.
Chances before and now
Before matchday 3 compared with now, after all results so far.
| Team | Position | Through (top 24) | Top 8 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Porto | 30th → 34th | 51% → 27% | 1% → <1% |
| PSV Eindhoven | 26th → 18th | 52% → 77% | 2% → 5% |
Form and fixtures
Both teams' Champions League matches: results so far and what is still to come.
Porto
- MD1LManchester City H0–2
- MD2LReal Betis A2–3
- MD3LPSV Eindhoven H this match0–1
- MD4Napoli H4 November
- MD5Feyenoord A24 November
- MD6Liverpool A9 December
- MD7Slavia Praha H19 January
- MD8LASK A27 January
PSV Eindhoven
- MD1DShakhtar Donetsk H1–1
- MD2LLeipzig A0–1
- MD3WPorto A this match1–0
- MD4Club Brugge H4 November
- MD5Real Madrid A24 November
- MD6Atlético de Madrid H9 December
- MD7Viking A20 January
- MD8Stuttgart H27 January
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Porto vs PSV Eindhoven?
The match finished 0–1 (Champions League, matchday 3).
Was Porto vs PSV a surprise?
Before kick-off the model gave Porto a 44% chance of winning, a draw 26% and PSV Eindhoven 30%. Not the most likely outcome, but no big surprise either: the model gave it 30%. The model's most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the actual score had a 9% chance.
How did the result change Porto's chances?
Before matchday 3, Porto had a 51% chance of going through (top 8: 1%). Now it is 27% (top 8: <1%).
How did the result change PSV Eindhoven's chances?
Before matchday 3, PSV Eindhoven had a 52% chance of going through (top 8: 2%). Now it is 77% (top 8: 5%).
When was Porto vs PSV Eindhoven played?
Tuesday 20 October, 21:00 (Champions League, matchday 3).
Big matches coming up
For each match: win probabilities and what every result means for both teams' chances of going through.
Other matchday 3 fixtures
- Fenerbahçe – Slavia Praha (2–2)
- Sabah – Borussia Dortmund (1–2)
- Roma – Slovan Bratislava (4–0)
- Liverpool – Villarreal (4–3)
- Manchester City – AEK Athens (5–1)
- Paris Saint-Germain – Barcelona (4–2)
- Napoli – Bodø/Glimt (4–3)
- Stuttgart – Atlético de Madrid (1–1)
- Como – Manchester United (4–1)
- Lille – Galatasaray (2–4)
- Aston Villa – Viking (3–1)
- Club Brugge – Lens (3–0)
- Bayern München – Arsenal (2–2)
- Inter – Shakhtar Donetsk (1–0)
- Real Madrid – Leipzig (4–1)
- Real Betis – Feyenoord (1–0)
- Sporting CP – LASK (2–3)