Club Brugge 2–3 Aston Villa
← Champions League: full table and chances
Matchday 1 · Tuesday 8 September, 18:45
Aston Villa won 3–2 away at Club Brugge on matchday 1. After the match, Club Brugge are 11th with 6 points, with a 87% chance of going through (top 8: 10%). Aston Villa are now 2nd with 9 points, with a 100% chance of going through (top 8: 62%).
Before kick-off
What the model expected, based on team ratings before matchday 1.
The outcome the model rated most likely (42%). The model's most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the actual score had a 2% chance. Expected goals before the match: Club Brugge 1.2, Aston Villa 1.4.
Chances before and now
Before matchday 1 compared with now, after all results so far (including later matchdays).
| Team | Through (top 24) | Top 8 |
|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge | 49% → 87% | 4% → 10% |
| Aston Villa | 86% → 100% | 24% → 62% |
Form and fixtures
Both teams' Champions League matches: results so far and what is still to come.
Club Brugge
- MD1LAston Villa H this match2–3
- MD2WInter A4–3
- MD3WLens H3–0
- MD4PSV Eindhoven A4 November
- MD5Liverpool H25 November
- MD6Napoli A8 December
- MD7Stuttgart A19 January
- MD8Bodø/Glimt H27 January
Aston Villa
- MD1WClub Brugge A this match3–2
- MD2WFenerbahçe H6–0
- MD3WViking H3–1
- MD4Barcelona A3 November
- MD5Galatasaray A24 November
- MD6Paris Saint-Germain H8 December
- MD7Borussia Dortmund H19 January
- MD8Slavia Praha A27 January
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Club Brugge vs Aston Villa?
The match finished 2–3 (Champions League, matchday 1).
Was Club Brugge vs Aston Villa a surprise?
Before kick-off the model gave Club Brugge a 32% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Aston Villa 42%. The outcome the model rated most likely (42%). The model's most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the actual score had a 2% chance.
How did the result change Club Brugge's chances?
Before matchday 1, Club Brugge had a 49% chance of going through (top 8: 4%). Now it is 87% (top 8: 10%).
How did the result change Aston Villa's chances?
Before matchday 1, Aston Villa had a 86% chance of going through (top 8: 24%). Now it is 100% (top 8: 62%).
When was Club Brugge vs Aston Villa played?
Tuesday 8 September, 18:45 (Champions League, matchday 1).
Big matches coming up
For each match: win probabilities and what every result means for both teams' chances of going through.
Other matchday 1 fixtures
- AEK Athens – LASK (1–0)
- Borussia Dortmund – Villarreal (3–2)
- Porto – Manchester City (0–2)
- Lille – Real Betis (2–3)
- Real Madrid – Inter (2–1)
- Barcelona – Feyenoord (5–1)
- Stuttgart – Viking (3–1)
- Liverpool – Atlético de Madrid (2–1)
- Paris Saint-Germain – Slovan Bratislava (6–1)
- Sporting CP – Galatasaray (3–1)
- Napoli – Arsenal (0–1)
- Fenerbahçe – Roma (1–1)
- PSV Eindhoven – Shakhtar Donetsk (1–1)
- Como – Leipzig (4–1)
- Bayern München – Bodø/Glimt (5–0)
- Manchester United – Sabah (4–0)
- Slavia Praha – Lens (2–3)