Knockout Math
Latviski

Viking vs Sabah: what's at stake in the Champions League?

← Champions League: full table and chances

Matchday 4 · Wednesday 4 November, 21:00

Viking30th, 0 pts
–Matchday 4
Sabah34th, 0 pts
55%Viking win
24%Draw
21%Sabah win

The model gives Viking a 55% chance of winning, a draw 24% and Sabah 21%. Viking's chance of going through is 10% now: a win would take it to 15%, a defeat to 2%. Sabah's chance of going through is 2% now: a win would take it to 5%, a defeat to 1%. The most likely score is 1–0 (12%).

What each result means

Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.

Viking: top 8Viking: throughSabah: top 8Sabah: through
Now<1%10%<1%2%
Viking win<1%15%<1%1%
Draw<1%4%0%1%
Sabah win0%2%<1%5%

Most likely scores

The most likely exact scores according to the model.

1–012%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%

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