Slavia Praha vs Arsenal: what's at stake in the Champions League?
← Champions League: full table and chances
Matchday 4 · Wednesday 4 November, 21:00
Slavia Praha22nd, 0 pts
–Matchday 4
Arsenal15th, 3 pts
12%Slavia Praha win
18%Draw
70%Arsenal win
The model gives Slavia Praha a 12% chance of winning, a draw 18% and Arsenal 70%. Slavia Praha's chance of going through is 21% now: a win would take it to 48%, a defeat to 16%. Arsenal's top-8 chance is 77% now: a win would take it to 85%, a defeat to 51%. The most likely score is 0–2 (13%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Slavia Praha: top 8 | Slavia Praha: through | Arsenal: top 8 | Arsenal: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 21% | 77% | >99% |
| Slavia Praha win | 2% | 48% | 51% | 99% |
| Draw | <1% | 25% | 63% | 99% |
| Arsenal win | <1% | 16% | 85% | 100% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
0–213%
0–111%
1–210%
0–39%
1–19%
1–37%
Other matchday 4 fixtures
- Shakhtar Donetsk – Sporting CP
- Galatasaray – Stuttgart
- Atlético de Madrid – Bayern München
- Barcelona – Aston Villa
- Feyenoord – Inter
- Bodø/Glimt – Lille
- LASK – Slovan Bratislava
- Manchester United – Roma
- Villarreal – Paris Saint-Germain
- AEK Athens – Real Madrid
- Fenerbahçe – Liverpool
- Borussia Dortmund – Real Betis
- Porto – Napoli
- PSV Eindhoven – Club Brugge
- Leipzig – Manchester City
- Lens – Como
- Viking – Sabah