Inter vs Liverpool: what's at stake in the Champions League?
← Champions League: full table and chances
Matchday 7 · Tuesday 19 January, 21:00
Inter26th, 0 pts
–Matchday 7
Liverpool14th, 3 pts
38%Inter win
26%Draw
35%Liverpool win
The model gives Inter a 38% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Liverpool 35%. Inter's chance of going through is 95% now: a win would take it to 99%, a defeat to 91%. Liverpool's top-8 chance is 77% now: a win would take it to 91%, a defeat to 64%. The most likely score is 1–1 (13%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Inter: top 8 | Inter: through | Liverpool: top 8 | Liverpool: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 36% | 95% | 77% | >99% |
| Inter win | 56% | 99% | 64% | 99% |
| Draw | 31% | 95% | 77% | >99% |
| Liverpool win | 19% | 91% | 91% | >99% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–08%
Other matchday 7 fixtures
- Bodø/Glimt – Atlético de Madrid
- Galatasaray – Feyenoord
- AEK Athens – Roma
- Aston Villa – Borussia Dortmund
- Porto – Slavia Praha
- Lille – Slovan Bratislava
- Real Madrid – LASK
- Stuttgart – Club Brugge
- Fenerbahçe – Villarreal
- Sabah – Napoli
- Como – Paris Saint-Germain
- Manchester United – Bayern München
- Leipzig – Shakhtar Donetsk
- Lens – Manchester City
- Real Betis – Arsenal
- Sporting CP – Barcelona
- Viking – PSV Eindhoven