Liverpool 2–1 Atlético de Madrid
← Champions League: full table and chances
Matchday 1 · Wednesday 9 September, 21:00
Liverpool beat Atlético de Madrid 2–1 at home on matchday 1. After the match, Liverpool are 3rd with 9 points, with a 100% chance of going through (top 8: 92%). Atlético de Madrid are now 16th with 4 points, with a 96% chance of going through (top 8: 24%).
Before kick-off
What the model expected, based on team ratings before matchday 1.
The outcome the model rated most likely (54%). The model's most likely score was 1–0 (12%); the actual score had a 10% chance. Expected goals before the match: Liverpool 1.7, Atlético de Madrid 1.0.
Chances before and now
Before matchday 1 compared with now, after all results so far (including later matchdays).
| Team | Through (top 24) | Top 8 |
|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | 98% → 100% | 67% → 92% |
| Atlético de Madrid | 92% → 96% | 34% → 24% |
Form and fixtures
Both teams' Champions League matches: results so far and what is still to come.
Liverpool
- MD1WAtlético de Madrid H this match2–1
- MD2WLASK A6–3
- MD3WVillarreal H4–3
- MD4Fenerbahçe A4 November
- MD5Club Brugge A25 November
- MD6Porto H9 December
- MD7Inter A19 January
- MD8Lens H27 January
Atlético de Madrid
- MD1LLiverpool A this match1–2
- MD2WManchester United H2–0
- MD3DStuttgart A1–1
- MD4Bayern München H3 November
- MD5Viking H25 November
- MD6PSV Eindhoven A9 December
- MD7Bodø/Glimt A19 January
- MD8Fenerbahçe H27 January
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Liverpool vs Atlético de Madrid?
The match finished 2–1 (Champions League, matchday 1).
Was Liverpool vs Atlético Madrid a surprise?
Before kick-off the model gave Liverpool a 54% chance of winning, a draw 24% and Atlético de Madrid 22%. The outcome the model rated most likely (54%). The model's most likely score was 1–0 (12%); the actual score had a 10% chance.
How did the result change Liverpool's chances?
Before matchday 1, Liverpool had a 98% chance of going through (top 8: 67%). Now it is 100% (top 8: 92%).
How did the result change Atlético de Madrid's chances?
Before matchday 1, Atlético de Madrid had a 92% chance of going through (top 8: 34%). Now it is 96% (top 8: 24%).
When was Liverpool vs Atlético de Madrid played?
Wednesday 9 September, 21:00 (Champions League, matchday 1).
Big matches coming up
For each match: win probabilities and what every result means for both teams' chances of going through.
Other matchday 1 fixtures
- AEK Athens – LASK (1–0)
- Club Brugge – Aston Villa (2–3)
- Borussia Dortmund – Villarreal (3–2)
- Porto – Manchester City (0–2)
- Lille – Real Betis (2–3)
- Real Madrid – Inter (2–1)
- Barcelona – Feyenoord (5–1)
- Stuttgart – Viking (3–1)
- Paris Saint-Germain – Slovan Bratislava (6–1)
- Sporting CP – Galatasaray (3–1)
- Napoli – Arsenal (0–1)
- Fenerbahçe – Roma (1–1)
- PSV Eindhoven – Shakhtar Donetsk (1–1)
- Como – Leipzig (4–1)
- Bayern München – Bodø/Glimt (5–0)
- Manchester United – Sabah (4–0)
- Slavia Praha – Lens (2–3)