Real Betis vs Arsenal: what's at stake in the Champions League?
← Champions League: full table and chances
Matchday 7 · Wednesday 20 January, 21:00
Real Betis9th, 3 pts
–Matchday 7
Arsenal15th, 3 pts
18%Real Betis win
23%Draw
59%Arsenal win
The model gives Real Betis a 18% chance of winning, a draw 23% and Arsenal 59%. Real Betis's chance of going through is 82% now: a win would take it to 95%, a defeat to 76%. Arsenal's top-8 chance is 77% now: a win would take it to 87%, a defeat to 54%. The most likely score is 0–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Real Betis: top 8 | Real Betis: through | Arsenal: top 8 | Arsenal: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 12% | 82% | 77% | >99% |
| Real Betis win | 31% | 95% | 54% | 99% |
| Draw | 13% | 86% | 68% | >99% |
| Arsenal win | 7% | 76% | 87% | 100% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
0–112%
0–211%
1–111%
1–210%
0–37%
0–06%
Other matchday 7 fixtures
- Bodø/Glimt – Atlético de Madrid
- Galatasaray – Feyenoord
- AEK Athens – Roma
- Aston Villa – Borussia Dortmund
- Inter – Liverpool
- Porto – Slavia Praha
- Lille – Slovan Bratislava
- Real Madrid – LASK
- Stuttgart – Club Brugge
- Fenerbahçe – Villarreal
- Sabah – Napoli
- Como – Paris Saint-Germain
- Manchester United – Bayern München
- Leipzig – Shakhtar Donetsk
- Lens – Manchester City
- Sporting CP – Barcelona
- Viking – PSV Eindhoven